TOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 17, 2009 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Ryan Sullivan1 3 3 3 111
- 10Adrian Miedziński3 2 2 3 313+2
- 11Chris Holder3 2 2 3 313+1
- 12Martin Smolinski0 00
- 13Wiesław Jaguś1 3 3 1 19
- 14Mateusz Lampkowski2 0 0 02
- 15Matej Kus0 3 1 04
- 1Piotr Protasiewicz2 1 1 2 06+1
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen00
- 3Rafał Dobrucki2 2 1 2 29
- 4Fredrik Lindgren1 1 02+2
- 5Grzegorz Walasek2 0 1 2 27+1
- 6Patryk Dudek3 3 1 D 07
- 7Grzegorz Zengota1 3 2 0 1 07+1
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Mateusz Lampkowski · TOR2
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE1
- Matej Kus · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1*
- Martin Smolinski · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE2*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Mateusz Lampkowski · TOR0
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Martin Smolinski · TOR0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1*
- Mateusz Lampkowski · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Mateusz Lampkowski · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE1
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE0
- Matej Kus · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIED
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE2
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Matej Kus · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE2
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE1*
- Matej Kus · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE2
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 17 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 3 km/h S
- gusts up to 14 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TOR | ZIE | TOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.7 | 13 | +5.3 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Rafał Dobrucki | 5 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Matej Kus | 4 | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 6 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Mateusz Lampkowski | 4 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 5 | 10.3 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Martin Smolinski | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.9 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 3 | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 9.0 | 6 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.