ZIE vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Saturday, October 24, 2009 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Rafał Dobrucki3 1 1 3 1 09
- 10Niels Kristian Iversen0 0 00
- 11Piotr ProtasiewiczW 2 2 2 28+3
- 12Fredrik Lindgren2 1 3 2 210+1
- 13Grzegorz Walasek0 D 3 36
- 14Grzegorz Zengota3 2 2 3 313
- 15Patryk Dudek2 02+1
- 1Wiesław Jaguś2 3 0 0 05
- 2Robert Kościecha1 T 2 25+1
- 3Ryan Sullivan3 1 1 1 17+2
- 4Adrian Miedziński1 3 2 W 17
- 5Chris Holder3 3 0 3 312
- 6Darcy Ward1 1 2 1 16+1
- 7Damian Celmer0 00
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Darcy Ward · TOR1
- Damian Celmer · TOR0
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Robert Kościecha · TOR1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE2
- Darcy Ward · TOR1
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1*
- Damian Celmer · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIED
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2*
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE0
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Robert Kościecha · TOR2
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Darcy Ward · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Robert Kościecha · TOR2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Darcy Ward · TOR1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE2
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE1
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 8 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 4 km/h SW
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 93 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| ZIE | TOR | ZIE | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.2 | 13 | +5.8 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 7.7 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Robert Kościecha | 3 | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 2 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.3 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Damian Celmer | 2 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 9.4 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Rafał Dobrucki | 6 | 11.6 | 9 | -2.6 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 5 | 8.9 | 5 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.