TOR vs GDA
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 2, 2009 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Wiesław Jaguś0 2 1 2 05+2
- 10Robert Kościecha3 3 3 2 D11
- 11Ryan Sullivan1 3 3 2 312+1
- 12Adrian Miedziński3 0 1 3 310
- 13Chris Holder2 0 2 15+2
- 14Matej Kus2 3 2 0 310
- 15Emil Pulczyński11+1
- 1Martin Vaculik2 2 1 1 17
- 2Renat Gafurov1 1 3 2 3 212+2
- 3Magnus Zetterström2 1 2 0 16+1
- 4Hans Andersen0 3 0 1 26
- 5Adam Skornicki1 1 02
- 6Andriy Kobrin3 0 03
- 7Damian Sperz0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Andriy Kobrin · GDA3
- Matej Kus · TOR2
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR1*
- Damian Sperz · GDA0
- Robert Kościecha · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GDA2
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Magnus Zetterström · GDA2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Hans Andersen · GDA0
- Matej Kus · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Adam Skornicki · GDA1
- Andriy Kobrin · GDA0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GDA2
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Hans Andersen · GDA3
- Matej Kus · TOR2
- Magnus Zetterström · GDA1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Robert Kościecha · TOR3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2*
- Adam Skornicki · GDA1
- Damian Sperz · GDA0
- Renat Gafurov · GDA3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GDA1
- Matej Kus · TOR0
- Robert Kościecha · TOR3
- Magnus Zetterström · GDA2
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Hans Andersen · GDA0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Renat Gafurov · GDA2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Damian Sperz · GDA0
- Renat Gafurov · GDA3
- Robert Kościecha · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Magnus Zetterström · GDA0
- Matej Kus · TOR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2*
- Martin Vaculik · GDA1
- Andriy Kobrin · GDA0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2*
- Hans Andersen · GDA1
- Adam Skornicki · GDA0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Hans Andersen · GDA2
- Magnus Zetterström · GDA1*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Renat Gafurov · GDA2
- Martin Vaculik · GDA1
- Robert Kościecha · TORD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 28 → 26 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 12 km/h E
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 52 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | GDA | TOR | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renat Gafurov | 6 | 5.7 | 12 | +6.3 |
| Robert Kościecha | 5 | 6.6 | 11 | +4.4 |
| Matej Kus | 5 | 6.4 | 10 | +3.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Magnus Zetterström | 5 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 7.3 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 1 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Andriy Kobrin | 3 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Adam Skornicki | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Damian Sperz | 3 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 8.9 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 8.9 | 5 | -3.9 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 5 | 10.4 | 5 | -5.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.