LES vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 5, 2009 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak1 3 3 2 211+2
- 10Damian Baliński3 0 0 36
- 11Leigh Adams3 3 3 3 315
- 12Adam Shields2 2 1 3 19+2
- 13Jarosław Hampel1 2 3 2 311+2
- 14Jurica Pavlic3 2 1 1 29+2
- 15Sławomir Musielak11
- 1Chris Holder0 0 2 13
- 2Robert Kościecha2 1 03
- 3Ryan Sullivan0 0 1 12+1
- 4Adrian Miedziński1 3 2 0 0 06
- 5Wiesław Jaguś0 2 2 1 2 18
- 6Damian Celmer00
- 7Matej Kus2 3 1 D 0 06+1
Heat by heat
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Matej Kus · TOR2
- Sławomir Musielak · LES1
- Damian Celmer · TOR0
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Robert Kościecha · TOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Adam Shields · LES2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR0
- Matej Kus · TOR3
- Jurica Pavlic · LES2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Adam Shields · LES2*
- Robert Kościecha · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1*
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Matej Kus · TOR1*
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1
- Robert Kościecha · TOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1*
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Adam Shields · LES1
- Matej Kus · TORD
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2*
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Jurica Pavlic · LES2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Matej Kus · TOR0
- Adam Shields · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Adam Shields · LES1
- Matej Kus · TOR0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 23 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 7 km/h NW
- gusts up to 21 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| LES | TOR | LES | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +28 | 100 % |
| 14 | +30 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leigh Adams | 5 | 9.2 | 15 | +5.8 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 5 | 4.7 | 9 | +4.3 |
| Adam Shields | 5 | 5.0 | 9 | +4.0 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 7.9 | 11 | +3.1 |
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 9.3 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Matej Kus | 6 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Robert Kościecha | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Sławomir Musielak | 1 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Damian Celmer | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 6 | 11.6 | 8 | -3.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 6 | 9.9 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 8.8 | 3 | -5.8 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4 | 8.0 | 2 | -6.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.