LES vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 16, 2008 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel3 3 2 U 210
- 10Jurica Pavlic0 0 1 01+1
- 11Krzysztof Kasprzak3 2 3 1 110+1
- 12Damian Baliński2 1 1 3 07+2
- 13Leigh Adams2 3 2 1 210
- 14Robert Kasprzak2 2 0 04+1
- 15Troy Batchelor1 D1+1
- 1Wiesław Jaguś2 3 3 3 3 317
- 2Robert Kościecha1 0 1 2 15+2
- 3Ryan Sullivan1 0 01
- 4Adrian MiedzińskiW 1 3 15
- 5Hans Andersen3 2 U 2 07
- 6Robert Ksiezak00
- 7Chris Holder3 1 1 2 2 312+2
Heat by heat
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Robert Kasprzak · LES2
- Troy Batchelor · LES1*
- Robert Ksiezak · TOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Robert Kościecha · TOR1*
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES3
- Damian Baliński · LES2*
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Leigh Adams · LES2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Troy Batchelor · LESD
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2
- Damian Baliński · LES1*
- Robert Kościecha · TOR0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Robert Kasprzak · LES2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Hans Andersen · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Leigh Adams · LES2
- Robert Kościecha · TOR1
- Robert Kasprzak · LES0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1*
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Hans Andersen · TORU
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Robert Kościecha · TOR2*
- Leigh Adams · LES1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1
- Robert Kasprzak · LES0
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Hans Andersen · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Jarosław Hampel · LESU
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Leigh Adams · LES2
- Robert Kościecha · TOR1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1*
- Hans Andersen · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 7 km/h SW
- gusts up to 16 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.8 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 75 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LES | TOR | LES | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiesław Jaguś | 6 | 12.1 | 17 | +4.9 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 6.6 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Robert Kasprzak | 4 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Damian Baliński | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Leigh Adams | 5 | 10.8 | 10 | -0.8 |
| Robert Kościecha | 5 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 8.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Troy Batchelor | 2 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Robert Ksiezak | 1 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 3 | 6.0 | 1 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.