TOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, October 19, 2008 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Ryan Sullivan3 1 3 1 19+1
- 10Adrian Miedziński0 2 2 2 39+2
- 11Hans Andersen1 3 1 1 D6
- 12Robert Kościecha0 2 02+1
- 13Wiesław Jaguś2 1 0 3 17+1
- 14Damian Celmer00
- 15Chris Holder2 1 2 3 3 314+1
- 1Leigh Adams2 1 1 2 39+1
- 2Troy Batchelor1 0 2 03+1
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak3 0 1 1 05
- 4Damian Baliński2 3 W 0 27+1
- 5Jarosław Hampel0 3 3 2 210+1
- 6Robert Kasprzak11
- 7Jurica Pavlic3 3 0 2 08+1
Heat by heat
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Robert Kasprzak · LES1
- Damian Celmer · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Leigh Adams · LES2
- Troy Batchelor · LES1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES3
- Damian Baliński · LES2*
- Hans Andersen · TOR1
- Robert Kościecha · TOR0
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Robert Kościecha · TOR2*
- Leigh Adams · LES1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1*
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Troy Batchelor · LES2
- Leigh Adams · LES1*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Jurica Pavlic · LES2*
- Hans Andersen · TOR1
- Robert Kościecha · TOR0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Leigh Adams · LES2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2*
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Hans Andersen · TORD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 10 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 17 km/h W
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 87 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TOR | LES | TOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Holder | 6 | 9.5 | 14 | +4.5 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 5 | 4.4 | 8 | +3.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 6.3 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Damian Baliński | 5 | 5.7 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Robert Kasprzak | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | -0.0 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Leigh Adams | 5 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Damian Celmer | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Robert Kościecha | 3 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 7.7 | 5 | -2.7 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 5 | 10.1 | 7 | -3.1 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 10.2 | 6 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.