LES vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, October 12, 2008 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak1 0 1 24+1
- 10Damian Baliński2 2 0 1 27+1
- 11Leigh Adams2 3 1 2 08+1
- 12Troy Batchelor3 1 0 1 05+1
- 13Jarosław Hampel1 3 2 2 210+1
- 14Robert Kasprzak2 02
- 15Jurica Pavlic1 1 3 05
- 1Hans Andersen3 2 1 3 110
- 2Karol Ząbik0 0 D 00
- 3Ryan Sullivan1 2 2 3 311+1
- 4Adrian Miedziński0 W 0 11
- 5Wiesław Jaguś2 3 3 2 3 316+2
- 6Damian CelmerD0
- 7Chris Holder3 3 1 3 111
Heat by heat
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Robert Kasprzak · LES2
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1
- Damian Celmer · TORD
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1*
- Karol Ząbik · TOR0
- Troy Batchelor · LES3
- Leigh Adams · LES2*
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2*
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Robert Kasprzak · LES0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Hans Andersen · TOR2
- Troy Batchelor · LES1
- Karol Ząbik · TOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES0
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2*
- Hans Andersen · TOR1
- Karol Ząbik · TORD
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2*
- Leigh Adams · LES1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Damian Baliński · LES1*
- Karol Ząbik · TOR0
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Leigh Adams · LES2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2
- Troy Batchelor · LES1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1
- Leigh Adams · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 16 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 9 km/h W
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 82 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| LES | TOR | LES | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiesław Jaguś | 6 | 10.6 | 16 | +5.4 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Damian Baliński | 5 | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Robert Kasprzak | 2 | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Damian Celmer | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Leigh Adams | 5 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Karol Ząbik | 4 | 4.4 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 5.9 | 1 | -4.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.