TOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, September 19, 2008 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Ryan Sullivan3 2 3 3 112+1
- 10Adrian Miedziński2 1 1 2 39+3
- 11Hans Andersen3 3 2 3 213
- 12Robert Kościecha0 1 1 13+1
- 13Wiesław Jaguś3 1 0 3 29+1
- 14Damian CelmerW0
- 15Chris Holder2 2 3 2 211+2
- 1Rafał Dobrucki1 01
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen0 2 1 0 1 04
- 3Piotr Protasiewicz2 0 0 13
- 4Fredrik Lindgren1 2 2 1 2 311+1
- 5Grzegorz Walasek1 3 6 3 D 013
- 6Artem Vodyakov3 D 03
- 7Grzegorz Zengota1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Artem Vodyakov · ZIE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE1
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE0
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1*
- Robert Kościecha · TOR0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE1
- Artem Vodyakov · ZIED
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE2
- Robert Kościecha · TOR1
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE2
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE6
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Hans Andersen · TOR2
- Robert Kościecha · TOR1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE0
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE1
- Artem Vodyakov · ZIE0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE2
- Robert Kościecha · TOR1
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIED
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE3
- Hans Andersen · TOR2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 11 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 14 km/h N
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 12 | −3 | +3 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TOR | ZIE | TOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +5 | 90 % |
| 9 | +7 | 94 % |
| 10 | +7 | 95 % |
| 11 | +11 | 100 % |
| 12 | +15 | 100 % |
| 13 | +17 | 100 % |
| 14 | +21 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 9.2 | 13 | +3.8 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 7.8 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 6 | 7.8 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 8.9 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Artem Vodyakov | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 5 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Damian Celmer | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 6 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Rafał Dobrucki | 2 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Robert Kościecha | 4 | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 6.7 | 4 | -2.7 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 6.3 | 3 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.