TOR vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 3, 2008 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Hans Andersen1 3 2 1 18+2
- 10Robert Kościecha3 1 3 3 212
- 11Ryan Sullivan3 1 1 1 17+2
- 12Karol Ząbik0 3 0 25
- 13Wiesław Jaguś0 3 3 1 29
- 14Damian Celmer33
- 15Chris Holder1 1 1 0 25
- 1Tomasz Jędrzejak2 2 1 0 0 05+1
- 2Krzysztof Słaboń0 00
- 3Daniel JeleniewskiT 2 1 2 05
- 4Mariusz Węgrzyk2 0 D D2
- 5Jason Crump3 2 2 3 3 316
- 6Maciej Janowski2 2 0 2 3 312+2
- 7Filip Sitera0 11+1
Heat by heat
- Damian Celmer · TOR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Filip Sitera · WRO0
- Robert Kościecha · TOR3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1
- Krzysztof Słaboń · WRO0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Mariusz Węgrzyk · WRO2
- Filip Sitera · WRO1*
- Karol Ząbik · TOR0
- Jason Crump · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Karol Ząbik · TOR3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Krzysztof Słaboń · WRO0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Mariusz Węgrzyk · WRO0
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Jason Crump · WRO2
- Robert Kościecha · TOR1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Jason Crump · WRO2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Robert Kościecha · TOR3
- Hans Andersen · TOR2*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO1
- Mariusz Węgrzyk · WROD
- Jason Crump · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Karol Ząbik · TOR0
- Robert Kościecha · TOR3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO2
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Jason Crump · WRO3
- Karol Ząbik · TOR2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1
- Mariusz Węgrzyk · WROD
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO0
- Jason Crump · WRO3
- Robert Kościecha · TOR2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 26 → 23 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 15 km/h W
- gusts up to 48 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.2 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.9 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 56 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | WRO | TOR | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 4.5 | 12 | +7.5 |
| Robert Kościecha | 5 | 6.1 | 12 | +5.9 |
| Jason Crump | 6 | 14.2 | 16 | +1.8 |
| Damian Celmer | 1 | 1.2 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Filip Sitera | 2 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Karol Ząbik | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Mariusz Węgrzyk | 4 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Krzysztof Słaboń | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 10.3 | 7 | -3.3 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 6 | 8.3 | 5 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.