ZIE vs TOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 27, 2008 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra

Results

ZIE 32 : 58 TOR

ZIE

9Rafał Dobrucki3 0 1 D 37
10Niels Kristian Iversen1 1 0 02
11Piotr Protasiewicz1 2 0 1 15
12Fredrik Lindgren0 1 1 13+1
13Grzegorz Walasek2 0 1 1 D4+1
14Grzegorz Zengota3 1 2 2 3 011+1
15Ricky KlingD0

TOR

1Robert Kościecha2 0 0 02
2Adrian Miedziński0 3 3 3 110+1
3Hans Andersen3 1 2 2 210+2
4Ryan Sullivan2 3 3 2 212+3
5Wiesław Jaguś3 3 3 3 315
6Damian Celmer22
7Chris Holder1 0 2 2 27+2

Heat by heat

Heat 161.07 s3:3

Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
Damian Celmer · TOR2
Chris Holder · TOR1
Ricky Kling · ZIED

Heat 262.03 s4:2

Heat 361.69 s1:5

Heat 461.69 s3:3

Heat 561.81 s3:3

Heat 662.10 s2:4

Heat 761.82 s1:5

Heat 863.31 s3:3

Heat 962.72 s1:5

Heat 1063.15 s1:5

Heat 1163.38 s1:5

Heat 1262.94 s4:2

Heat 1363.34 s1:5

Heat 1464.10 s3:3

Heat 1563.29 s1:5

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Clear; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 30 → 26 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 10 km/h NE; gusts up to 27 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 34 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	11	13	−2	+2
5–7	6	12	−6	+6
8–10	5	13	−8	+8
11–13	6	12	−6	+6
14–15	4	8	−4	+4
	ZIE	TOR	ZIE	TOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead ZIE

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+2	77 %
3	-2	47 %
4	-2	46 %
5	-2	47 %
6	-4	33 %
7	-8	13 %
8	-8	12 %
9	-12	1 %
10	-16	2 %
11	-20	1 %
12	-18	0 %
13	-22	0 %
14	-22	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Wiesław Jaguś	5	8.7	15	+6.3
Grzegorz Zengota	6	4.8	11	+6.2
Ryan Sullivan	5	8.7	12	+3.3
Adrian Miedziński	5	7.9	10	+2.1
Hans Andersen	5	9.0	10	+1.0
Damian Celmer	1	1.2	2	+0.8
Rafał Dobrucki	5	7.1	7	-0.1
Ricky Kling	1	1.1	0	-1.1
Chris Holder	5	8.5	7	-1.5
Fredrik Lindgren	4	5.4	3	-2.4
Piotr Protasiewicz	5	7.7	5	-2.7
Niels Kristian Iversen	4	4.7	2	-2.7
Robert Kościecha	4	6.2	2	-4.2
Grzegorz Walasek	5	9.1	4	-5.1

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 64.1061.07 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 28.7:28.0 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −0.87 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source