TOR vs RZE

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 6, 2008 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń

Results

TOR 63 : 28 RZE
TOR
RZE

Heat by heat

Heat 161.81 s3:3
Heat 260.84 s4:2
Heat 361.35 s5:1
Heat 460.75 s4:2
Heat 560.88 s5:1
Heat 660.72 s4:2
Heat 760.53 s5:1
Heat 860.84 s5:1
Heat 960.59 s5:2
Heat 1061.34 s4:2
Heat 1160.94 s5:1
Heat 1261.53 s5:1
Heat 1361.72 s3:3
Heat 1460.97 s3:3
Heat 1561.43 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Cloudy
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
11 °C
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind
12 km/h S
gusts up to 30 km/h
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0.2 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
62 %
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4168+8−8
5–7144+10−10
8–10145+9−9
11–13135+8−8
14–156600
TORRZETORRZE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead TOR
05101520253035115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2+277 %
3+690 %
4+893 %
5+1297 %
6+1499 %
7+18100 %
8+22100 %
9+25100 %
10+27100 %
11+31100 %
12+35100 %
13+35100 %
14+35100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Ryan Sullivan510.414+3.6
Hans Andersen59.112+2.9
Matej Zagar43.76+2.3
Wiesław Jaguś48.310+1.7
Adrian Miedziński58.710+1.3
Chris Holder58.19+0.9
Karol Ząbik35.55-0.5
Dawid Stachyra44.84-0.8
Damian Celmer22.41-1.4
Martin Vaculik33.62-1.6
Dawid Lampart42.71-1.7
David Watt58.26-2.2
Roman Povazhny44.11-3.1
Kenneth Bjerre59.36-3.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.8160.53 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 37.0:24.0 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −0.68 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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