LES vs RZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 10, 2007 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak1 2 2 2 18+2
- 10Damian Baliński2 3 1 2 210+2
- 11Jarosław Hampel3 3 3 3 315
- 12Troy Batchelor0 1 1 02
- 13Leigh Adams2 3 3 3 213+1
- 14Robert KasprzakM0
- 15Jurica PavlicT 1 2 2 27+4
- 1David Watt3 0 0 1 37
- 2Scott NichollsD 2 1 1 04
- 3Rafał Dobrucki2 1 0 0 03
- 4Paweł Miesiąc1 0 12+1
- 5Nicki Pedersen3 1 6 2 3 116
- 6Marcin Leś3 0 0 0 03
- 7Dawid LampartW0
Heat by heat
- Marcin Leś · RZE3
- Robert Kasprzak · LESM
- David Watt · RZE3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1
- Scott Nicholls · RZED
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Rafał Dobrucki · RZE2
- Paweł Miesiąc · RZE1*
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Leigh Adams · LES2
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1*
- Marcin Leś · RZE0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Scott Nicholls · RZE2
- Troy Batchelor · LES1
- David Watt · RZE0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Jurica Pavlic · LES2*
- Rafał Dobrucki · RZE1
- Paweł Miesiąc · RZE0
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2*
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE1
- Marcin Leś · RZE0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Jurica Pavlic · LES2*
- Scott Nicholls · RZE1
- David Watt · RZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE6
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2
- Damian Baliński · LES1*
- Rafał Dobrucki · RZE0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE2
- Troy Batchelor · LES1
- Marcin Leś · RZE0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Damian Baliński · LES2*
- Scott Nicholls · RZE1
- Rafał Dobrucki · RZE0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Jurica Pavlic · LES2*
- David Watt · RZE1
- Marcin Leś · RZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2
- Paweł Miesiąc · RZE1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- David Watt · RZE3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1*
- Rafał Dobrucki · RZE0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Leigh Adams · LES2*
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE1
- Scott Nicholls · RZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 26 → 22 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 10 km/h NE
- gusts up to 23 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 12 | −3 | +3 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 9 | +3 | −3 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LES | RZE | LES | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -3 | 53 % |
| 2 | -3 | 54 % |
| 3 | -3 | 47 % |
| 4 | -3 | 46 % |
| 5 | -1 | 64 % |
| 6 | +3 | 82 % |
| 7 | +7 | 95 % |
| 8 | +11 | 98 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 7.9 | 15 | +7.1 |
| Damian Baliński | 5 | 6.4 | 10 | +3.6 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 5 | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Leigh Adams | 5 | 11.8 | 13 | +1.2 |
| David Watt | 5 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Marcin Leś | 5 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 14.2 | 13 | -1.2 |
| Robert Kasprzak | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Dawid Lampart | 1 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 5.0 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Scott Nicholls | 5 | 7.2 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Rafał Dobrucki | 5 | 6.9 | 3 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.