TOR vs RZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 13, 2007 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Wiesław Jaguś3 2 3 2 313
- 10Ales Dryml2 1 1 15+2
- 11Matej Zagar1 0 1 35
- 12Adrian Miedziński3 1 2 1 18+2
- 13Ryan Sullivan2 3 3 3 213+1
- 14Alan Marcinkowski2 13+1
- 15Karol Ząbik1 2 0 2 27+3
- 1Rafał Dobrucki1 2 2 0 1 06+1
- 2David Watt0 3 1 2 2 08+1
- 3Paweł Miesiąc2 1 03
- 4Maciej Kuciapa0 0 00
- 5Nicki Pedersen3 3 3 3 6 119
- 6Marcin Leś3 0 0 03
- 7Andreas Messing0 D0
Heat by heat
- Marcin Leś · RZE3
- Alan Marcinkowski · TOR2
- Karol Ząbik · TOR1*
- Andreas Messing · RZE0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Ales Dryml · TOR2*
- Rafał Dobrucki · RZE1
- David Watt · RZE0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Paweł Miesiąc · RZE2
- Matej Zagar · TOR1
- Maciej Kuciapa · RZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Alan Marcinkowski · TOR1*
- Marcin Leś · RZE0
- David Watt · RZE3
- Rafał Dobrucki · RZE2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Matej Zagar · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Karol Ząbik · TOR2*
- Paweł Miesiąc · RZE1
- Maciej Kuciapa · RZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Ales Dryml · TOR1*
- Marcin Leś · RZE0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Rafał Dobrucki · RZE2
- David Watt · RZE1*
- Karol Ząbik · TOR0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- David Watt · RZE2
- Ales Dryml · TOR1
- Paweł Miesiąc · RZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Matej Zagar · TOR1
- Andreas Messing · RZED
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- David Watt · RZE2
- Ales Dryml · TOR1
- Rafał Dobrucki · RZE0
- Matej Zagar · TOR3
- Karol Ząbik · TOR2*
- Rafał Dobrucki · RZE1
- Marcin Leś · RZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Maciej Kuciapa · RZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE6
- Karol Ząbik · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Rafał Dobrucki · RZE0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE1
- David Watt · RZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 19 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 8 km/h S
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 52 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 7 | +1 | −1 | |
| TOR | RZE | TOR | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +11 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 7.9 | 13 | +5.1 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 5 | 8.6 | 13 | +4.4 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 6.2 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Ales Dryml | 4 | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 15.6 | 16 | +0.4 |
| Alan Marcinkowski | 2 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| David Watt | 6 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Karol Ząbik | 5 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 3 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Marcin Leś | 4 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 6.8 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Andreas Messing | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Rafał Dobrucki | 6 | 9.5 | 6 | -3.5 |
| Maciej Kuciapa | 3 | 3.9 | 0 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.