TOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, October 7, 2007 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Wiesław Jaguś1 3 3 2 09
- 10Steven Johnston0 00
- 11Adrian Miedziński2 D 2 2 39+1
- 12Matej Zagar1 2 W 0 03+1
- 13Ryan Sullivan1 2 2 3 1 211+3
- 14Alan Marcinkowski11+1
- 15Karol Ząbik2 2 1 1 2 311+1
- 1Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 1 0 1 210
- 2Damian Baliński2 3 2 2 0 110+1
- 4Jurica Pavlic0 0 1 3 T4+1
- 5Leigh Adams3 3 1 3 3 316
- 6Adam Kajoch3 0 1 04
- 7Troy Batchelor0 0 1 12+1
Heat by heat
- Adam Kajoch · LES3
- Karol Ząbik · TOR2
- Alan Marcinkowski · TOR1*
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES3
- Damian Baliński · LES2*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Steven Johnston · TOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Matej Zagar · TOR1*
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Karol Ząbik · TOR2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1*
- Adam Kajoch · LES0
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Matej Zagar · TOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1
- Adrian Miedziński · TORD
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Karol Ząbik · TOR1*
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2*
- Leigh Adams · LES1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Karol Ząbik · TOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1*
- Steven Johnston · TOR0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Adam Kajoch · LES1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Karol Ząbik · TOR2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1*
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Karol Ząbik · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1
- Adam Kajoch · LES0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Troy Batchelor · LES1
- Matej Zagar · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2
- Troy Batchelor · LES1*
- Matej Zagar · TOR0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14 → 11 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 10 km/h W
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 75 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TOR | LES | TOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leigh Adams | 6 | 13.8 | 16 | +2.2 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Adam Kajoch | 4 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 6 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Karol Ząbik | 6 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Damian Baliński | 6 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Alan Marcinkowski | 1 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Steven Johnston | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 12.0 | 10 | -2.0 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 5.2 | 2 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.