LES vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 30, 2007 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak1 2 3 3 211+1
- 10Damian Baliński3 3 2 2 313+1
- 11Jarosław Hampel2 3 D 2 18+1
- 12Troy Batchelor1 2 14+1
- 13Leigh AdamsT 2 3 3 1 110+2
- 14Adam KajochW 0 00
- 15Jurica Pavlic1 1 0 13+1
- 1Adrian Miedziński2 1 2 05
- 2Matej Zagar0 0 1 01+1
- 3Wiesław Jaguś3 2 1 3 3 012
- 4Ales Dryml0 00
- 5Ryan Sullivan3 1 1 2 29
- 6Alan Marcinkowski3 2 05+1
- 7Karol Ząbik2 1 3 3 0 09+2
Heat by heat
- Alan Marcinkowski · TOR3
- Karol Ząbik · TOR2*
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1
- Matej Zagar · TOR0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Troy Batchelor · LES1*
- Ales Dryml · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Alan Marcinkowski · TOR2*
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1
- Adam Kajoch · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Leigh Adams · LES2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Matej Zagar · TOR0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Karol Ząbik · TOR1*
- Adam Kajoch · LES0
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2*
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Alan Marcinkowski · TOR0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Matej Zagar · TOR1*
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES3
- Damian Baliński · LES2*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Ales Dryml · TOR0
- Karol Ząbik · TOR3
- Troy Batchelor · LES2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Jarosław Hampel · LESD
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Leigh Adams · LES1*
- Matej Zagar · TOR0
- Karol Ząbik · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Troy Batchelor · LES1
- Karol Ząbik · TOR0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1*
- Karol Ząbik · TOR0
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Leigh Adams · LES1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 17 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 8 km/h W
- gusts up to 14 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 73 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LES | TOR | LES | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Baliński | 5 | 6.6 | 13 | +6.4 |
| Alan Marcinkowski | 3 | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 6 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Troy Batchelor | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Karol Ząbik | 6 | 10.3 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Ales Dryml | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Leigh Adams | 5 | 12.0 | 10 | -2.0 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Adam Kajoch | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.