TOR vs WRO

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 16, 2007 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń

Results

TOR 47 : 43 WRO
TOR
WRO

Heat by heat

Heat 161.20 s4:2
Heat 261.11 s3:3
Heat 362.06 s3:3
Heat 461.28 s3:3
Heat 561.95 s2:4
Heat 662.34 s4:2
Heat 761.49 s2:4
Heat 862.35 s3:3
Heat 962.56 s3:3
Heat 1062.38 s2:4
Heat 1162.61 s5:1
Heat 1262.94 s5:1
Heat 1362.19 s1:5
Heat 1462.38 s4:2
Heat 1562.56 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Clear
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
14 → 11 °C
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind
9 km/h S
gusts up to 21 km/h
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
77 %
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41311+2−2
5–7810−2+2
8–10810−2+2
11–13117+4−4
14–1575+2−2
TORWROTORWRO

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead TOR
-20246115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2+277 %
3+277 %
4+273 %
5064 %
6+274 %
7060 %
8057 %
9056 %
10-236 %
11+268 %
12+692 %
13+274 %
14+494 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Kenneth Bjerre712.015+3.0
Adrian Miedziński56.89+2.2
Chris Holder67.19+1.9
Ales Dryml53.55+1.5
Karol Ząbik58.710+1.3
Wiesław Jaguś59.010+1.0
Alan Marcinkowski11.01+0.0
Ryan Sullivan59.39-0.3
Jason Crump612.612-0.6
Matej Zagar43.93-0.9
Maciej Janowski11.20-1.2
Hans Andersen69.87-2.8
Tomasz Gapiński45.10-5.1

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.9461.11 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 31.7:27.7 outside C + D
Trend ◀ +1.63 towards the inside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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