LES vs RZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 16, 2007 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak2 2 2 1 29+1
- 10Troy Batchelor1 T 0 23+1
- 11Jarosław Hampel2 3 2 2 211+2
- 12Damian Baliński1 2 3 39+2
- 13Robert Miśkowiak1 1 13+1
- 14Adam Kajoch2 2 0 3 18+1
- 15Jurica Pavlic3 3 0 1 18
- 1David Watt3 1 3 D 1 311
- 2Paweł Miesiąc0 00
- 3Rafał Dobrucki3 2 1 3 0 W9+1
- 4Scott Nicholls0 3 2 3 2 313+1
- 5Maciej Kuciapa3 1 D D4
- 6Dawid Lampart0 0 1 01
- 7Marcin Leś1 01
Heat by heat
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Adam Kajoch · LES2*
- Marcin Leś · RZE1
- Dawid Lampart · RZE0
- David Watt · RZE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2
- Troy Batchelor · LES1*
- Paweł Miesiąc · RZE0
- Rafał Dobrucki · RZE3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Damian Baliński · LES1*
- Scott Nicholls · RZE0
- Maciej Kuciapa · RZE3
- Adam Kajoch · LES2
- Robert Miśkowiak · LES1*
- Dawid Lampart · RZE0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Damian Baliński · LES2*
- David Watt · RZE1
- Paweł Miesiąc · RZE0
- Scott Nicholls · RZE3
- Rafał Dobrucki · RZE2*
- Robert Miśkowiak · LES1
- Adam Kajoch · LES0
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2*
- Maciej Kuciapa · RZE1
- Marcin Leś · RZE0
- David Watt · RZE3
- Scott Nicholls · RZE2*
- Robert Miśkowiak · LES1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Scott Nicholls · RZE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2
- Rafał Dobrucki · RZE1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2*
- Dawid Lampart · RZE1
- Maciej Kuciapa · RZED
- Rafał Dobrucki · RZE3
- Troy Batchelor · LES2
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1
- David Watt · RZED
- Adam Kajoch · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2*
- David Watt · RZE1
- Dawid Lampart · RZE0
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Scott Nicholls · RZE2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1
- Rafał Dobrucki · RZE0
- David Watt · RZE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2
- Adam Kajoch · LES1
- Maciej Kuciapa · RZED
- Scott Nicholls · RZE3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 9 km/h SW
- gusts up to 25 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LES | RZE | LES | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 5.6 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 5 | 4.9 | 8 | +3.1 |
| Scott Nicholls | 6 | 10.1 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Adam Kajoch | 5 | 5.8 | 8 | +2.2 |
| David Watt | 6 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Robert Miśkowiak | 3 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Rafał Dobrucki | 6 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Maciej Kuciapa | 4 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Marcin Leś | 2 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Troy Batchelor | 3 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 10.7 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Dawid Lampart | 4 | 5.0 | 1 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.