LES vs TOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 5, 2007 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno

Results

LES 44 : 46 TOR

LES

9Leigh Adams3 3 2 3 213
10Adam Kajoch2 0 0 13+1
11Damian Baliński2 0 2 2 28+1
12Troy Batchelor0 2 1 14+1
13Krzysztof Kasprzak2 1 3 2 08+1
14Robert Kasprzak2 02
15Jurica Pavlic1 2 0 3 06+1

TOR

1Robert Kościecha1 3 2 1 310
2Matej Zagar0 1 1 D2+1
3Wiesław Jaguś3 3 3 3 315
4Adrian Miedziński1 0 1 2 15
5Ryan Sullivan3 2 3 0 19
6Alan Marcinkowski0 00
7Karol Ząbik3 1 1 05+1

Heat by heat

Heat 162.10 s3:3

Heat 262.40 s5:1

Leigh Adams · LES3
Adam Kajoch · LES2*
Robert Kościecha · TOR1
Matej Zagar · TOR0

Heat 361.10 s2:4

Heat 461.60 s2:4

Heat 562.70 s2:4

Heat 662.20 s3:3

Heat 761.90 s3:3

Leigh Adams · LES3
Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
Karol Ząbik · TOR1*
Adam Kajoch · LES0

Heat 862.50 s3:3

Heat 962.50 s2:4

Heat 1062.80 s3:3

Heat 1163.50 s3:3

Heat 1264.10 s5:1

Heat 1363.10 s4:2

Heat 1463.40 s2:4

Heat 1562.80 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Clear; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 24 → 17 °C; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind: 9 km/h E; gusts up to 19 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 48 %; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	12	12	0	0
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	12	6	+6	−6
14–15	4	8	−4	+4
	LES	TOR	LES	TOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead LES

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+2	77 %
4	0	62 %
5	-2	47 %
6	-2	48 %
7	-2	46 %
8	-2	48 %
9	-4	28 %
10	-4	22 %
11	-4	18 %
12	0	57 %
13	+2	74 %
14	0	56 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Wiesław Jaguś	5	8.4	15	+6.6
Robert Kościecha	5	7.4	10	+2.6
Leigh Adams	5	11.4	13	+1.6
Damian Baliński	5	7.5	8	+0.5
Jurica Pavlic	5	5.6	6	+0.4
Robert Kasprzak	2	1.8	2	+0.2
Adam Kajoch	4	3.1	3	-0.1
Ryan Sullivan	5	9.2	9	-0.2
Troy Batchelor	4	4.7	4	-0.7
Adrian Miedziński	5	6.1	5	-1.1
Karol Ząbik	4	6.2	5	-1.2
Krzysztof Kasprzak	5	9.9	8	-1.9
Alan Marcinkowski	2	2.5	0	-2.5
Matej Zagar	4	6.2	2	-4.2

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 64.1061.10 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 29.7:29.0 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −2.70 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source