TOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Thursday, August 9, 2007 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Wiesław Jaguś2 2 1 1 39
- 10Adrian Miedziński1 1 D 2 04+3
- 11Robert Kościecha2 1 2 2 18+2
- 12Matej Zagar1 2 1 T4+2
- 13Ryan Sullivan1 3 3 3 010
- 14Alan Marcinkowski11
- 15Karol Ząbik3 3 2 2 313+2
- 1Jarosław Hampel3 3 0 1 310
- 2Robert Miśkowiak0 0 00
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak3 0 1 2 1 29+1
- 4Damian Baliński0 1 2 14+2
- 5Leigh Adams2 3 6 3 3 219+1
- 6Robert Kasprzak2 0 02
- 7Jurica Pavlic0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Karol Ząbik · TOR3
- Robert Kasprzak · LES2
- Alan Marcinkowski · TOR1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Robert Miśkowiak · LES0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES3
- Robert Kościecha · TOR2
- Matej Zagar · TOR1*
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Karol Ząbik · TOR3
- Leigh Adams · LES2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Robert Kasprzak · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Matej Zagar · TOR2
- Robert Kościecha · TOR1*
- Robert Miśkowiak · LES0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Karol Ząbik · TOR2*
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Karol Ząbik · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
- Leigh Adams · LES6
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TORD
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Robert Kościecha · TOR2
- Matej Zagar · TOR1*
- Robert Kasprzak · LES0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1
- Robert Miśkowiak · LES0
- Karol Ząbik · TOR3
- Robert Kościecha · TOR2*
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Damian Baliński · LES2*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2
- Damian Baliński · LES1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Leigh Adams · LES2*
- Robert Kościecha · TOR1
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Rain
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 25 → 23 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 11 km/h NE
- gusts up to 27 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.5 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 12 | −3 | +3 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TOR | LES | TOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +5 | 89 % |
| 10 | +5 | 92 % |
| 11 | +9 | 97 % |
| 12 | +13 | 100 % |
| 13 | +9 | 100 % |
| 14 | +9 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karol Ząbik | 5 | 7.1 | 13 | +5.9 |
| Leigh Adams | 6 | 13.8 | 16 | +2.2 |
| Robert Kościecha | 5 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 5 | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Alan Marcinkowski | 1 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Robert Kasprzak | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 11.1 | 9 | -2.1 |
| Robert Miśkowiak | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 3 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.