KRO vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 12, 2026 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Luke Becker0 3 3 0 39
- 10Tobiasz Musielak2 2 0 3 18+1
- 11Robert Chmiel1 3 W 26
- 12Marcus Birkemose1 2 2 2 18+1
- 13Jason Doyle3 3 2 2 313+1
- 14Szymon Bańdur2 0 13+1
- 15Radosław Kowalski1 1 13+2
- 1Tai Woffinden3 0 2 3 D8
- 2Chris Holder0 2 1 3 06+1
- 3Frederik Jakobsen2 1 3 0 28+1
- 5Gleb Chugunov2 W 3 1 28
- 6Paweł Sitek3 3 u 17
- 7Filip Seniuk0 1 1 02
- 8Jakub Krawczyk1 D 01
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · OST3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2*
- Robert Chmiel · KRO1
- Luke Becker · KRO0
- Paweł Sitek · OST3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2
- Radosław Kowalski · KRO1*
- Filip Seniuk · OST0
- Jason Doyle · KRO3
- Gleb Chugunov · OST2
- Marcus Birkemose · KRO1
- Chris Holder · OST0
- Paweł Sitek · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Robert Chmiel · KRO3
- Marcus Birkemose · KRO2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OSTD
- Jason Doyle · KRO3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Radosław Kowalski · KRO1
- Tai Woffinden · OST0
- Luke Becker · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Filip Seniuk · OST1
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1*
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Luke Becker · KRO3
- Tai Woffinden · OST2
- Chris Holder · OST1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO0
- Gleb Chugunov · OST3
- Marcus Birkemose · KRO2
- Filip Seniuk · OST1
- Tai Woffinden · OST3
- Marcus Birkemose · KRO2
- Paweł Sitek · OST1
- Luke Becker · KRO0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Robert Chmiel · KRO2
- Radosław Kowalski · KRO1*
- Filip Seniuk · OST0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2*
- Gleb Chugunov · OST1
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST0
- Luke Becker · KRO3
- Gleb Chugunov · OST2
- Marcus Birkemose · KRO1
- Chris Holder · OST0
- Jason Doyle · KRO3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1
- Tai Woffinden · OSTD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12 → 10 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h NE
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| KRO | OST | KRO | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paweł Sitek | 3 | 4.6 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Marcus Birkemose | 5 | 5.7 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.8 | 13 | +2.2 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 3 | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Radosław Kowalski | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Filip Seniuk | 4 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Robert Chmiel | 4 | 7.2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.9 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 3 | 4.8 | 1 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.