PIL vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, October 3, 2026 · ASTA ARENA, Piła
Results
- 9Michał Curzytek0 3 2 3 210+1
- 10Wiktor Jasinski3 2 3 W W8+1
- 11Matias Nielsen2 2 3 3 212+1
- 12Benjamin Basso1 3 2 28+2
- 13Andreas Lyager3 2 2 2 110+1
- 14Tobiasz Jakub Musielak0 00
- 15Dominik Baryłka3 1 26+2
- 16Kacper Teska11
- 1Frederik Jakobsen3 3 3 1 1 314
- 3Jonas Seifert-Salk1 1 1 W 3 06
- 4Gleb ChugunovD0
- 5Chris Holder2 1 1 1 16
- 6Paweł Sitek2 2 0 0 0 37
- 7Nikodem Łuczak1 01+1
- 8Jakub Krawczyk0 0 0 1 u1
Heat by heat
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Matias Nielsen · PIL2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · OST1
- Michał Curzytek · PIL0
- Dominik Baryłka · PIL3
- Paweł Sitek · OST2
- Nikodem Łuczak · OST1*
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · PIL0
- Andreas Lyager · PIL3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Benjamin Basso · PIL1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Wiktor Jasinski · PIL3
- Paweł Sitek · OST2
- Kacper Teska · PIL1
- Gleb Chugunov · OSTD
- Benjamin Basso · PIL3
- Matias Nielsen · PIL2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · OST1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Andreas Lyager · PIL2
- Dominik Baryłka · PIL1*
- Paweł Sitek · OST0
- Michał Curzytek · PIL3
- Wiktor Jasinski · PIL2*
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Nikodem Łuczak · OST0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Andreas Lyager · PIL2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · OST1
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · PIL0
- Wiktor Jasinski · PIL3
- Michał Curzytek · PIL2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Matias Nielsen · PIL3
- Benjamin Basso · PIL2*
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Paweł Sitek · OST0
- Michał Curzytek · PIL3
- Benjamin Basso · PIL2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Matias Nielsen · PIL3
- Dominik Baryłka · PIL2*
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST1
- Paweł Sitek · OST0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · OST3
- Andreas Lyager · PIL2
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Paweł Sitek · OST3
- Michał Curzytek · PIL2
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Matias Nielsen · PIL2
- Andreas Lyager · PIL1*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 16 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 4 km/h W
- gusts up to 9 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 79 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| PIL | OST | PIL | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIL
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michał Curzytek | 5 | 4.1 | 10 | +5.9 |
| Dominik Baryłka | 3 | 3.2 | 6 | +2.8 |
| Benjamin Basso | 4 | 5.5 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Matias Nielsen | 5 | 10.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 12.5 | 14 | +1.5 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 5 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Paweł Sitek | 6 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Kacper Teska | 1 | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Nikodem Łuczak | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Tobiasz Jakub Musielak | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 6 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 1 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.0 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 4 | 7.5 | 1 | -6.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.