OST vs PIL
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 27, 2026 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Frederik Jakobsen3 3 2 2 111+1
- 10Chris Holder3 2 3 1 312+1
- 11Gleb Chugunov2 1 3 3 211+3
- 12Jonas Seifert-Salk1 2 2 16+2
- 13Jakub Krawczyk3 3 2 3 011
- 14Paweł Sitek2 1 03+1
- 15Nikodem Łuczak3 0 14
- 1Benjamin Basso1 1 0 0 13+1
- 2Wiktor Jasinski2 2 3 1 0 210+1
- 3Matias Nielsen0 3 1 3 2 312
- 4Michał Curzytek0 00
- 5Andreas Lyager0 1 W 01
- 6Dominik Baryłka1 2 1 2 06
- 7Kacper Teska0 00
Heat by heat
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Gleb Chugunov · OST2*
- Benjamin Basso · PIL1
- Matias Nielsen · PIL0
- Nikodem Łuczak · OST3
- Paweł Sitek · OST2*
- Dominik Baryłka · PIL1
- Kacper Teska · PIL0
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST3
- Wiktor Jasinski · PIL2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · OST1
- Andreas Lyager · PIL0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Dominik Baryłka · PIL2
- Paweł Sitek · OST1
- Michał Curzytek · PIL0
- Matias Nielsen · PIL3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · OST2
- Gleb Chugunov · OST1*
- Michał Curzytek · PIL0
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST3
- Wiktor Jasinski · PIL2
- Benjamin Basso · PIL1*
- Nikodem Łuczak · OST0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Chris Holder · OST2*
- Andreas Lyager · PIL1
- Kacper Teska · PIL0
- Wiktor Jasinski · PIL3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2
- Matias Nielsen · PIL1
- Paweł Sitek · OST0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2*
- Wiktor Jasinski · PIL1
- Benjamin Basso · PIL0
- Gleb Chugunov · OST3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · OST2*
- Dominik Baryłka · PIL1
- Andreas Lyager · PILW
- Matias Nielsen · PIL3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · OST1*
- Benjamin Basso · PIL0
- Gleb Chugunov · OST3
- Dominik Baryłka · PIL2
- Nikodem Łuczak · OST1
- Wiktor Jasinski · PIL0
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST3
- Matias Nielsen · PIL2
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Andreas Lyager · PIL0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Gleb Chugunov · OST2*
- Benjamin Basso · PIL1
- Dominik Baryłka · PIL0
- Matias Nielsen · PIL3
- Wiktor Jasinski · PIL2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 17 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 9 km/h E
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| OST | PIL | OST | PIL | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +26 | 100 % |
| 14 | +30 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Holder | 5 | 7.8 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 6 | 6.4 | 10 | +3.6 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 8.8 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 11.3 | 12 | +0.7 |
| Dominik Baryłka | 5 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Nikodem Łuczak | 3 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 4 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Paweł Sitek | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Kacper Teska | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Michał Curzytek | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Benjamin Basso | 5 | 7.9 | 3 | -4.9 |
| Andreas Lyager | 4 | 7.7 | 1 | -6.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.