OST vs RZE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, July 31, 2026 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Gleb Chugunov1 D 2 25
- 10Chris Holder0 1 01
- 11Jonas Seifert-Salk0 3 3 2 1 110+1
- 12Jakub Krawczyk3 0 2 16+1
- 13Frederik Jakobsen2 2 3 1 3 213+1
- 14Paweł Sitek3 3 0 06
- 15Filip SeniukD 0 11+1
- 1Mateusz Szczepaniak2 1 3 3 09+1
- 2Joshua Pickering1 3 1 3 210
- 3Francis Gusts3 1 2 3 312+1
- 5Oskar Fajfer0 3 0 25+1
- 6Maksym Borowiak1 1 13+1
- 7Adrian Przybyło2 2 04+1
- 8Krzysztof Sadurski2 2 1 W 05+1
Heat by heat
- Francis Gusts · RZE3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RZE2*
- Gleb Chugunov · OST1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · OST0
- Paweł Sitek · OST3
- Adrian Przybyło · RZE2
- Maksym Borowiak · RZE1
- Filip Seniuk · OSTD
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2*
- Joshua Pickering · RZE1
- Oskar Fajfer · RZE0
- Paweł Sitek · OST3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · RZE2
- Maksym Borowiak · RZE1*
- Chris Holder · OST0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · OST3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · RZE2
- Francis Gusts · RZE1*
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Joshua Pickering · RZE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RZE1
- Filip Seniuk · OST0
- Oskar Fajfer · RZE3
- Adrian Przybyło · RZE2*
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Gleb Chugunov · OSTD
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Francis Gusts · RZE2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · RZE1*
- Paweł Sitek · OST0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RZE3
- Gleb Chugunov · OST2
- Joshua Pickering · RZE1
- Chris Holder · OST0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · OST3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2*
- Maksym Borowiak · RZE1
- Oskar Fajfer · RZE0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RZE3
- Gleb Chugunov · OST2
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST1
- Joshua Pickering · RZE3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · OST2
- Filip Seniuk · OST1*
- Adrian Przybyło · RZE0
- Francis Gusts · RZE3
- Oskar Fajfer · RZE2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Paweł Sitek · OST0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Joshua Pickering · RZE2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · OST1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · RZE0
- Francis Gusts · RZE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · OST1*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 32 → 29 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 9 km/h N
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| OST | RZE | OST | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Gusts | 5 | 6.9 | 12 | +5.1 |
| Adrian Przybyło | 3 | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 11.7 | 13 | +1.3 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 5 | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 4 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Paweł Sitek | 4 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 6 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Filip Seniuk | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 4 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 4 | 7.4 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Chris Holder | 3 | 5.7 | 1 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.