POZ vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, July 18, 2025 · Poznań Stadium, Poznań
Results
- 9Matias Nielsen2 3 1 28+1
- 10Szymon Szlauderbach3 1 3 W7
- 11Norick Blödorn3 3 3 312
- 12Bartosz Smektała2 2 3 310+2
- 13Ryan Douglas3 3 2 311
- 14Kacper Teska3 1 15+1
- 15Tobiasz Jakub Musielak1 0 23+1
- 16Francis Gusts2 1 1 26+3
- 1Timo Lahti1 2 2 3 19
- 2Marko Levishyn0 1 0 12+1
- 3Mateusz Szczepaniak0 1 01
- 4Igor Gryzło00
- 5Matej Zagar1 2 3 W 06
- 6Radosław Kowalski2 2 0 1 05
- 7Jan Heleniak0 0 0 00
- 8Fraser Bowes1 2 25
Heat by heat
- Norick Blödorn · POZ3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2*
- Timo Lahti · TAR1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR0
- Kacper Teska · POZ3
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR2
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ1
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ2*
- Matej Zagar · TAR1
- Marko Levishyn · TAR0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ3
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR2
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Norick Blödorn · POZ3
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR1
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Timo Lahti · TAR2
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1*
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ0
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Matej Zagar · TAR2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Matej Zagar · TAR3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Kacper Teska · POZ1*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ3
- Timo Lahti · TAR2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Marko Levishyn · TAR0
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ3
- Francis Gusts · POZ2*
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR1
- Matej Zagar · TARW
- Timo Lahti · TAR3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- Francis Gusts · POZ1*
- Igor Gryzło · TAR0
- Norick Blödorn · POZ3
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ2*
- Fraser Bowes · TAR1
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Fraser Bowes · TAR2
- Francis Gusts · POZ1
- Matej Zagar · TAR0
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ3
- Fraser Bowes · TAR2
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1
- Norick Blödorn · POZ3
- Francis Gusts · POZ2*
- Timo Lahti · TAR1
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 °C
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h SW
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| POZ | TAR | POZ | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead POZ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +16 | 100 % |
| 6 | +16 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +24 | 100 % |
| 12 | +28 | 100 % |
| 13 | +30 | 100 % |
| 14 | +30 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 5.6 | 12 | +6.4 |
| Kacper Teska | 3 | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Fraser Bowes | 3 | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Ryan Douglas | 4 | 9.3 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Francis Gusts | 4 | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Matias Nielsen | 4 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 4 | 6.4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.0 | 9 | +0.0 |
| Tobiasz Jakub Musielak | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Igor Gryzło | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Radosław Kowalski | 5 | 7.1 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Marko Levishyn | 4 | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 3 | 5.2 | 1 | -4.2 |
| Jan Heleniak | 4 | 4.2 | 0 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.