BYD vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Thursday, June 26, 2025 · Polonia Stadium, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kai Huckenbeck1 2 2 27+3
- 10Oleksandr Loktayev3 3 3 3 315
- 11Szymon Woźniak3 2 2 2 312+2
- 12Tom Brennan1 3 3 3 212+1
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 3 2 213+2
- 14Bartosz Nowak2 1 03
- 15Kacper Andrzejewski1 0 01+1
- 2Norbert Krakowiak2 1 1 0 3 D7+1
- 3Sebastian Szostak2 0 1 0 03+1
- 4Grzegorz Walasek0 2 1 2 1 17
- 5Frederik JakobsenD 2 1 1 1 16
- 6Filip Seniuk0 0 00
- 7Paweł Sitek3 0 1 04
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Paweł Sitek · OST3
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD2
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD1*
- Filip Seniuk · OST0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Norbert Krakowiak · OST2
- Tom Brennan · BYD1
- Frederik Jakobsen · OSTD
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD1
- Filip Seniuk · OST0
- Tom Brennan · BYD3
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Norbert Krakowiak · OST1*
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Paweł Sitek · OST0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1*
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Norbert Krakowiak · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Tom Brennan · BYD3
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Filip Seniuk · OST0
- Tom Brennan · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Norbert Krakowiak · OST0
- Norbert Krakowiak · OST3
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD2
- Paweł Sitek · OST1
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD3
- Tom Brennan · BYD2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Paweł Sitek · OST0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Norbert Krakowiak · OSTD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h S
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 45 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| BYD | OST | BYD | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +26 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +28 | 100 % |
| 14 | +32 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 10.3 | 15 | +4.7 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.8 | 13 | +4.2 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 8.8 | 12 | +3.2 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 11.5 | 12 | +0.5 |
| Paweł Sitek | 4 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Bartosz Nowak | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | -0.0 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 6 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 5 | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 4 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Kacper Andrzejewski | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Filip Seniuk | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 11.5 | 6 | -5.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.