OST vs POZ
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 22, 2025 · Ostrów Stadium, Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Oliver Berntzon3 D3
- 11Sebastian Szostak1 2 1 04+2
- 12Grzegorz Walasek0 3 2 D 1 D6+1
- 13Frederik Jakobsen1 3 3 2 2 213
- 14Paweł Sitek3 2 05
- 15Filip Seniuk2 1 2 27+1
- 16Anders Rowe1 3 1 1 17+2
- 1Matias Nielsen0 0 2 02+1
- 2Szymon Szlauderbach2 2 3 1 19+1
- 3Norick Blödorn2 1 1 04+1
- 4Bartosz Smektała3 0 3 39
- 5Ryan Douglas3 2 2 3 3 316
- 6Kacper Teska1 W1
- 7Tobiasz Jakub Musielak0 1 0 34
- 8Francis Gusts00
Heat by heat
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Norick Blödorn · POZ2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Matias Nielsen · POZ0
- Paweł Sitek · OST3
- Filip Seniuk · OST2*
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ3
- Paweł Sitek · OST2
- Anders Rowe · OST1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2*
- Norick Blödorn · POZ1
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Filip Seniuk · OST1
- Matias Nielsen · POZ0
- Anders Rowe · OST3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ1
- Oliver Berntzon · OSTD
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Norick Blödorn · POZ1*
- Paweł Sitek · OST0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Anders Rowe · OST1*
- Francis Gusts · POZ0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1*
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ0
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2*
- Anders Rowe · OST1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OSTD
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ3
- Filip Seniuk · OST2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Norick Blödorn · POZ0
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ3
- Filip Seniuk · OST2
- Anders Rowe · OST1*
- Matias Nielsen · POZ0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OSTD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 → 28 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h NW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| OST | POZ | OST | POZ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Seniuk | 4 | 3.8 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 5 | 6.6 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Ryan Douglas | 6 | 14.1 | 16 | +1.9 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Paweł Sitek | 3 | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 2 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Kacper Teska | 2 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 4 | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Tobiasz Jakub Musielak | 4 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Anders Rowe | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Francis Gusts | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 6 | 7.3 | 6 | -1.3 |
| Matias Nielsen | 4 | 7.2 | 2 | -5.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.