POZ vs OST

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Thursday, June 12, 2025 · Poznań Stadium, Poznań

Results

POZ 46 : 44 OST

POZ

9Matias Nielsen2 1 3 2 19+2
11Norick Blödorn0 2 2 3 29
12Bartosz Smektała2 1 1 1 16+3
13Ryan Douglas3 2 2 3 212
14Kacper Teska0 0 11+1
15Tobiasz Jakub Musielak3 D 14
16Francis Gusts1 2 1 15

OST

2Grzegorz Walasek0 3 2 3 2 010
3Oliver Berntzon1 3 1 3 0 311
4Sebastian Szostak3 0 03
5Frederik Jakobsen3 1 3 D 2 312
6Filip Seniuk2 2 0 3 0 D7+1
7Paweł Sitek1 0 01+1

Heat by heat

Heat 165.28 s2:4

Heat 265.47 s3:3

Heat 364.56 s5:1

Heat 464.89 s1:5

Sebastian Szostak · OST3
Filip Seniuk · OST2*
Francis Gusts · POZ1
Kacper Teska · POZ0

Heat 565.44 s3:3

Heat 665.60 s2:4

Heat 765.47 s3:3

Heat 865.31 s3:3

Heat 966.28 s4:2

Heat 1066.16 s3:3

Heat 1166.12 s3:3

Heat 1266.16 s4:2

Heat 1365.69 s4:2

Heat 1466.03 s3:3

Heat 1565.89 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Clear; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 20 → 17 °C; Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Wind: 16 km/h N; gusts up to 28 km/h; Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 40 %; Measured · Poznan, 4 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	11	13	−2	+2
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	10	8	+2	−2
11–13	11	7	+4	−4
14–15	6	6	0	0
	POZ	OST	POZ	OST

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead POZ

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-2	53 %
2	-2	54 %
3	+2	77 %
4	-2	46 %
5	-2	47 %
6	-4	33 %
7	-4	32 %
8	-4	35 %
9	-2	44 %
10	-2	36 %
11	-2	36 %
12	0	57 %
13	+2	74 %
14	+2	77 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Norick Blödorn	5	7.2	9	+1.8
Filip Seniuk	6	5.5	7	+1.5
Matias Nielsen	5	7.6	9	+1.4
Ryan Douglas	5	10.8	12	+1.2
Oliver Berntzon	6	10.1	11	+0.9
Grzegorz Walasek	6	9.2	10	+0.8
Tobiasz Jakub Musielak	3	3.5	4	+0.5
Francis Gusts	4	4.7	5	+0.3
Frederik Jakobsen	6	12.5	12	-0.5
Kacper Teska	3	2.4	1	-1.4
Sebastian Szostak	3	4.4	3	-1.4
Bartosz Smektała	5	8.2	6	-2.2
Paweł Sitek	3	4.0	1	-3.0

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 66.2864.56 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 36.3:27.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −2.50 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source