BYD vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 15, 2025 · Polonia Stadium, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kai Huckenbeck1 3 D 37
- 10Oleksandr Loktayev3 2 3 210+2
- 11Szymon Woźniak3 2 3 311+1
- 12Tom Brennan1 3 2 17+2
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski2 0 2 37
- 14Bartosz Nowak3 1 0 26
- 15Kacper Andrzejewski1 3 2 06+1
- 16Emil Maroszek1 34+1
- 1Timo Lahti0 2 1 1 04
- 2Marko Levishyn3 1 1 2 1 210+1
- 3Mateusz Szczepaniak2 0 3 2 1 19+1
- 5Matej Zagar0 11
- 6Radosław Kowalski2 2 0 1 38
- 7Jan HeleniakD 0 00
- 8Fraser Bowes0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Timo Lahti · TAR0
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD3
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR2
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD1
- Jan Heleniak · TARD
- Marko Levishyn · TAR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Tom Brennan · BYD1*
- Matej Zagar · TAR0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD3
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR2
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD1
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Tom Brennan · BYD3
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD2*
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR0
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD3
- Timo Lahti · TAR2
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD2*
- Matej Zagar · TAR1
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Timo Lahti · TAR1
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD3
- Marko Levishyn · TAR2
- Timo Lahti · TAR1
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYDD
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD3
- Tom Brennan · BYD2*
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR1
- Fraser Bowes · TAR0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR2
- Tom Brennan · BYD1
- Timo Lahti · TAR0
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD3
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD2*
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR1
- Fraser Bowes · TAR0
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR3
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD2
- Emil Maroszek · BYD1*
- Fraser Bowes · TAR0
- Emil Maroszek · BYD3
- Marko Levishyn · TAR2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR1*
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h SE
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 28 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| BYD | TAR | BYD | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +26 | 100 % |
| 14 | +26 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marko Levishyn | 6 | 7.1 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Kacper Andrzejewski | 4 | 3.5 | 6 | +2.5 |
| Bartosz Nowak | 4 | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
| Radosław Kowalski | 5 | 5.8 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 4 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Emil Maroszek | 2 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 6 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 4 | 8.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Matej Zagar | 2 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Fraser Bowes | 3 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Jan Heleniak | 3 | 3.9 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 8.2 | 4 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.