OST vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 8, 2025 · Ostrów Stadium, Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Luke Becker2 3 2 3 1 u11
- 10Sebastian Szostak3 1 1 0 16
- 11Oliver BerntzonW 00
- 12Grzegorz WalasekW 2 1 D3
- 13Frederik Jakobsen1 1 2 3 1 W8
- 14Paweł Sitek0 1 0 23
- 15Filip Seniuk1 0 1 02
- 1Szymon WoźniakT 3 3 39
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev3 2 M 2 310+1
- 3Kai Huckenbeck3 3 3 3 315
- 4Tom Brennan2 1 1 2 28+2
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski2 2 2 28+2
- 6Kacper Andrzejewski2 0 02+1
- 7Bartosz Nowak1 3 0 0 15
Heat by heat
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Luke Becker · OST2
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD1
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD3
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD2*
- Filip Seniuk · OST1
- Paweł Sitek · OST0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OSTW
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Tom Brennan · BYD2
- Paweł Sitek · OST1
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Tom Brennan · BYD1
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Filip Seniuk · OST0
- Luke Becker · OST3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Tom Brennan · BYD1
- Paweł Sitek · OST0
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD3
- Luke Becker · OST2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYDM
- Luke Becker · OST3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD0
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD3
- Tom Brennan · BYD2*
- Luke Becker · OST1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OSTD
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD2
- Filip Seniuk · OST1
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD3
- Tom Brennan · BYD2*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Filip Seniuk · OST0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Paweł Sitek · OST2
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 18 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 25 km/h S
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.9 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| OST | BYD | OST | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -10 | 7 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -14 | 4 % |
| 7 | -12 | 4 % |
| 8 | -14 | 0 % |
| 9 | -14 | 3 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -16 | 1 % |
| 12 | -14 | 4 % |
| 13 | -18 | 0 % |
| 14 | -22 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 9.7 | 15 | +5.3 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 3 | 6.1 | 9 | +2.9 |
| Bartosz Nowak | 5 | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 5 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Kacper Andrzejewski | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Filip Seniuk | 4 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Paweł Sitek | 4 | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 2 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 12.0 | 8 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.