KRO vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, June 21, 2025 · Krosno Stadium, Krosno
Results
- 9Kenneth Bjerre2 2 3 2 312
- 10Dimitri Berge3 1 1 3 19+1
- 11William Drejer00
- 12Jakub Jamróg2 3 3 0 210+1
- 13Tobiasz MusielakW 0 3 25+1
- 14Piotr Świercz3 2 16+1
- 15Szymon Bańdur2 2 04+1
- 16Mathias Pollestad0 1 3 37
- 1Marko Levishyn1 1 0 3 1 06
- 2Matej Zagar3 3 2 1 2 213
- 3Mateusz Szczepaniak3 1 0 1 05+1
- 5Timo Lahti1 3 0 04
- 6Radosław Kowalski0 1 2 2 2 18+1
- 7Jan Heleniak1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1
- Mathias Pollestad · KRO0
- Piotr Świercz · KRO3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2*
- Jan Heleniak · TAR1
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR0
- Matej Zagar · TAR3
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO2
- Timo Lahti · TAR1
- Dimitri Berge · KRO3
- Piotr Świercz · KRO2*
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR1
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO3
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR1*
- William Drejer · KRO0
- Matej Zagar · TAR3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO0
- Timo Lahti · TAR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1*
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR2
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Matej Zagar · TAR2
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1
- Marko Levishyn · TAR0
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO3
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR2
- Mathias Pollestad · KRO1
- Timo Lahti · TAR0
- Marko Levishyn · TAR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Matej Zagar · TAR1
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO0
- Mathias Pollestad · KRO3
- Matej Zagar · TAR2
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR1*
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Dimitri Berge · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR1
- Timo Lahti · TAR0
- Mathias Pollestad · KRO3
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO2*
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Matej Zagar · TAR2
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1
- Marko Levishyn · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 21 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h NW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 40 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| KRO | TAR | KRO | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 9.8 | 13 | +3.2 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Piotr Świercz | 3 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 3 | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Radosław Kowalski | 6 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Mathias Pollestad | 4 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Marko Levishyn | 6 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| William Drejer | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Jan Heleniak | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.8 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 7.1 | 4 | -3.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 8.5 | 5 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.