TAR vs RZE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Thursday, May 29, 2025 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Mateusz Szczepaniak0 3 2 2 310+1
- 10Sebastian Madej11
- 11Matej Zagar1 2 3 2 D8+1
- 12Marko Levishyn1 3 2 3 110+1
- 13Timo Lahti0 T0
- 14Radosław Kowalski2 2 3 0 U7+1
- 15Jan Heleniak3 1 0 0 04+1
- 16Fraser Bowes1 2 03
- 1Marcin Nowak2 2 1 1 28+1
- 2Keynan Rew3 1 3 3 313+1
- 3Nicolai Klindt3 1 3 W 18+1
- 4David Bellego0 00
- 5Paweł Przedpełski2 2 1 3 210+2
- 6Wiktor Rafalski1 3 04
- 7Franciszek Majewski0 1 12+1
- 8Anze Grmek2 W2+1
Heat by heat
- Nicolai Klindt · RZE3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2*
- Matej Zagar · TAR1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR0
- Jan Heleniak · TAR3
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR2*
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE1
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE0
- Keynan Rew · RZE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE2*
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1
- Timo Lahti · TAR0
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE3
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR2
- Jan Heleniak · TAR1*
- David Bellego · RZE0
- Marko Levishyn · TAR3
- Matej Zagar · TAR2*
- Nicolai Klindt · RZE1
- David Bellego · RZE0
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2
- Keynan Rew · RZE1*
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE2
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE1*
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR0
- Nicolai Klindt · RZE3
- Anze Grmek · RZE2*
- Fraser Bowes · TAR1
- Radosław Kowalski · TARU
- Keynan Rew · RZE3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Matej Zagar · TAR3
- Marko Levishyn · TAR2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Marko Levishyn · TAR3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR2*
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Keynan Rew · RZE3
- Matej Zagar · TAR2
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE1
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE3
- Fraser Bowes · TAR2
- Sebastian Madej · TAR1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2
- Nicolai Klindt · RZE1*
- Fraser Bowes · TAR0
- Keynan Rew · RZE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE2*
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1
- Matej Zagar · TARD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle → Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 14 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h NW
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.8 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 9.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 77 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TAR | RZE | TAR | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marko Levishyn | 5 | 4.7 | 10 | +5.3 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 9.9 | 13 | +3.1 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 3 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Radosław Kowalski | 5 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Fraser Bowes | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Sebastian Madej | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | -0.0 |
| Anze Grmek | 2 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Franciszek Majewski | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Timo Lahti | 1 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Jan Heleniak | 5 | 5.9 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 10.8 | 8 | -2.8 |
| David Bellego | 2 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.