BYD vs KRO
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 11, 2025 · Polonia Stadium, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kai Huckenbeck1 1 3 D W5+1
- 10Oleksandr Loktayev0 3 1 W4
- 11Szymon Woźniak2 3 3 2 313
- 12Tom Brennan3 2 1 3 110+1
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski2 3 3 2 212+2
- 14Bartosz Nowak0 11
- 15Kacper Andrzejewski3 0 14+1
- 16Emil Maroszek00
- 1Kenneth Bjerre3 1 2 1 07+1
- 2William Drejer0 2 02
- 3Dimitri Berge0 1 2 3 1 18
- 4Jakub Jamróg2 0 1 2 38+2
- 5Tobiasz Musielak1 2 0 3 28+1
- 6Piotr Świercz1 3 2 06+1
- 7Szymon Bańdur2 02
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1*
- Dimitri Berge · KRO0
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1*
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD0
- Tom Brennan · BYD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1
- William Drejer · KRO0
- Piotr Świercz · KRO3
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO2*
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD0
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD3
- Tom Brennan · BYD2*
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- William Drejer · KRO2
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO1*
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Dimitri Berge · KRO2
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO1*
- Emil Maroszek · BYD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD1
- William Drejer · KRO0
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD3
- Piotr Świercz · KRO2
- Tom Brennan · BYD1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO0
- Tom Brennan · BYD3
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO2
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO1
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYDD
- Dimitri Berge · KRO3
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD2
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD1*
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Tom Brennan · BYD1
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2*
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h NW
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| BYD | KRO | BYD | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 9.0 | 13 | +4.0 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 9.2 | 12 | +2.8 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Piotr Świercz | 4 | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Kacper Andrzejewski | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 2 | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| William Drejer | 3 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Emil Maroszek | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Bartosz Nowak | 2 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Dimitri Berge | 6 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 8.4 | 4 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.