RZE vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, May 3, 2025 · Rzeszów Stadium, Rzeszów
Results
- 9Marcin Nowak3 3 2 1 211+3
- 10Keynan Rew3 T 3 1 310
- 11David BellegoD 11+1
- 12Jacob Thorssell3 2 2 2 09
- 13Paweł Przedpełski2 3 2 3 212+1
- 14Franciszek Majewski1 W 1 W2
- 15Wiktor Rafalski0 0 11+1
- 16Anze Grmek0 22
- 1Oliver Berntzon1 2 1 3 18
- 2Norbert KrakowiakD 1 D1+1
- 3Luke Becker2 3 3 0 19
- 4Sebastian Szostak2 0 13
- 5Frederik Jakobsen1 2 3 2 311
- 6Filip Seniuk2 1 1 04+1
- 7Paweł Sitek3 W 0 3 W6
Heat by heat
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Luke Becker · OST2
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- David Bellego · RZED
- Paweł Sitek · OST3
- Filip Seniuk · OST2*
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Norbert Krakowiak · OSTD
- Keynan Rew · RZE3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2
- Filip Seniuk · OST1
- Luke Becker · OST3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- David Bellego · RZE1*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Norbert Krakowiak · OST1*
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE1
- Luke Becker · OST3
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Keynan Rew · RZE3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Norbert Krakowiak · OSTD
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Filip Seniuk · OST1
- Anze Grmek · RZE0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1*
- Paweł Sitek · OST0
- Paweł Sitek · OST3
- Anze Grmek · RZE2
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE1*
- Filip Seniuk · OST0
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Keynan Rew · RZE1
- Luke Becker · OST0
- Keynan Rew · RZE3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE2
- Luke Becker · OST1
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Thunderstorm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 18 °C
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h S
- gusts up to 42 km/h
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| RZE | OST | RZE | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 8.0 | 12 | +4.0 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 7.5 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Keynan Rew | 4 | 6.7 | 10 | +3.3 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Paweł Sitek | 5 | 6.0 | 6 | -0.0 |
| Anze Grmek | 2 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Filip Seniuk | 4 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| David Bellego | 2 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Franciszek Majewski | 4 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 10.3 | 8 | -2.3 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.