LOD vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 4, 2025 · Łódź Stadium, Łódź
Results
- 9Vaclav Milik3 2 3 2 212+2
- 10Patryk Wojdyło2 3 2 18+2
- 11Robert Chmiel0 2 3 3 311
- 12Mikkel Andersen2 1 1 26+3
- 13Andreas Lyager3 3 2 2 313
- 14Olivier Buszkiewicz3 1 04+1
- 15Seweryn Orgacki1 0 U1
- 16Mateusz Bartkowiak00
- 1Matej Zagar2 3 2 1 1 09
- 2Marko Levishyn0 1 1 02+1
- 3Timo Lahti1 3 3 3 3 114+1
- 5Mateusz Szczepaniak1 0 1 2 0 15
- 6Radosław Kowalski0 0 00
- 7Jan Heleniak2 0 13
- 8Fraser Bowes2 02
Heat by heat
- Vaclav Milik · LOD3
- Matej Zagar · TAR2
- Timo Lahti · TAR1*
- Robert Chmiel · LOD0
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LOD3
- Jan Heleniak · TAR2
- Seweryn Orgacki · LOD1
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR0
- Andreas Lyager · LOD3
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR1
- Marko Levishyn · TAR0
- Matej Zagar · TAR3
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LOD1*
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR0
- Timo Lahti · TAR3
- Robert Chmiel · LOD2
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD1*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR0
- Andreas Lyager · LOD3
- Matej Zagar · TAR2
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1*
- Seweryn Orgacki · LOD0
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD3
- Vaclav Milik · LOD2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR1
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Timo Lahti · TAR3
- Andreas Lyager · LOD2
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LOD0
- Vaclav Milik · LOD3
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD2*
- Matej Zagar · TAR1
- Marko Levishyn · TAR0
- Robert Chmiel · LOD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR2
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD1
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR0
- Timo Lahti · TAR3
- Vaclav Milik · LOD2
- Matej Zagar · TAR1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD0
- Robert Chmiel · LOD3
- Fraser Bowes · TAR2
- Jan Heleniak · TAR1
- Seweryn Orgacki · LODU
- Timo Lahti · TAR3
- Andreas Lyager · LOD2
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD1*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR0
- Robert Chmiel · LOD3
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR1
- Fraser Bowes · TAR0
- Andreas Lyager · LOD3
- Vaclav Milik · LOD2*
- Timo Lahti · TAR1
- Matej Zagar · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 14 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 34 km/h W
- gusts up to 50 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 9.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 47 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| LOD | TAR | LOD | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 7.9 | 12 | +4.1 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 11.3 | 14 | +2.7 |
| Robert Chmiel | 5 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 11.0 | 13 | +2.0 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Mikkel Andersen | 4 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Fraser Bowes | 2 | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Jan Heleniak | 3 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Marko Levishyn | 4 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Radosław Kowalski | 3 | 4.0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 6 | 9.6 | 5 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.