KRO vs POZ
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 27, 2025 · Krosno Stadium, Krosno
Results
- 9Kenneth Bjerre1 3 2 2 311+3
- 11Jakub Jamróg2 2 2 3 110
- 13Tobiasz Musielak3 3 3 0 312
- 14Piotr Świercz3 3 1 0 310
- 15Szymon Bańdur1 0 0 0 34
- 16William Drejer0 0 3 0 25+1
- 1Matias Nielsen3 1 1 16+1
- 2Norick Blödorn1 2 0 2 05+1
- 3Bartosz Smektała0 3 2 1 28+1
- 5Ryan Douglas2 2 1 2 1 08
- 6Tobiasz Jakub Musielak2 2 3 0 18+1
- 7Kacper Teska0 00
- 8Francis Gusts1 1 13+2
Heat by heat
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO2
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO1*
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ0
- Piotr Świercz · KRO3
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ2
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Norick Blödorn · POZ1*
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Piotr Świercz · KRO3
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ2
- Francis Gusts · POZ1*
- William Drejer · KRO0
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ3
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO2
- Francis Gusts · POZ1
- William Drejer · KRO0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Norick Blödorn · POZ2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1*
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ2
- Francis Gusts · POZ1*
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- William Drejer · KRO3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2*
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Norick Blödorn · POZ0
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ3
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO2
- Ryan Douglas · POZ1
- William Drejer · KRO0
- Piotr Świercz · KRO3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2*
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ0
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO3
- Norick Blödorn · POZ2
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ1*
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- William Drejer · KRO2*
- Ryan Douglas · POZ1
- Norick Blödorn · POZ0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ2
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO1
- Ryan Douglas · POZ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h NE
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 32 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| KRO | POZ | KRO | POZ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Świercz | 5 | 5.2 | 10 | +4.8 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Tobiasz Jakub Musielak | 5 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 5 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| William Drejer | 5 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Francis Gusts | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Matias Nielsen | 4 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Kacper Teska | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Ryan Douglas | 6 | 11.3 | 8 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.