POZ vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 20, 2025 · Poznań Stadium, Poznań
Results
- 9Bartosz Smektała1 1 2 3 310+1
- 11Norick Blödorn2 3 2 0 29+1
- 12Matias Nielsen3 0 0 25+1
- 13Ryan Douglas2 2 3 2 110+2
- 14Kacper Teska3 2 05
- 15Tobiasz Jakub Musielak2 3 2 310+1
- 16Francis Gusts1 3 1 05+1
- 1Vaclav Milik3 0 3 0 06
- 2Patryk Wojdyło0 1 01
- 3Robert Chmiel0 2 2 3 07
- 4Mikkel Andersen3 1 1 1 17+2
- 5Andreas Lyager1 2 3 3 1 212
- 6Olivier Buszkiewicz1 D 1 13
- 7Seweryn OrgackiW T0
Heat by heat
- Vaclav Milik · LOD3
- Norick Blödorn · POZ2
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ1*
- Robert Chmiel · LOD0
- Kacper Teska · POZ3
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ2*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LOD1
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2*
- Andreas Lyager · LOD1
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD0
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD3
- Kacper Teska · POZ2
- Francis Gusts · POZ1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LODD
- Norick Blödorn · POZ3
- Robert Chmiel · LOD2
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD1*
- Matias Nielsen · POZ0
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD1
- Vaclav Milik · LOD0
- Francis Gusts · POZ3
- Andreas Lyager · LOD2
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ1
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Robert Chmiel · LOD2
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD1*
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Vaclav Milik · LOD3
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ2
- Francis Gusts · POZ1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD0
- Andreas Lyager · LOD3
- Norick Blödorn · POZ2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LOD1
- Matias Nielsen · POZ0
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2*
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD1
- Vaclav Milik · LOD0
- Andreas Lyager · LOD3
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LOD1
- Norick Blödorn · POZ0
- Robert Chmiel · LOD3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Andreas Lyager · LOD1
- Francis Gusts · POZ0
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ3
- Norick Blödorn · POZ2*
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD1
- Vaclav Milik · LOD0
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ3
- Andreas Lyager · LOD2
- Ryan Douglas · POZ1
- Robert Chmiel · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 °C
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h SW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| POZ | LOD | POZ | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead POZ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobiasz Jakub Musielak | 4 | 5.1 | 10 | +4.9 |
| Kacper Teska | 3 | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Mikkel Andersen | 5 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Robert Chmiel | 5 | 7.0 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Andreas Lyager | 6 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| Francis Gusts | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 4 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Matias Nielsen | 4 | 6.8 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 3 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 9.1 | 6 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.