BYD vs RZE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 19, 2025 · Polonia Stadium, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kai Huckenbeck0 3 1 3 18+1
- 10Tom Brennan3 1 3 07
- 11Szymon Woźniak3 1 1 3 210
- 12Oleksandr Loktayev1 3 3 0 29
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 2 3 112+1
- 14Kacper Andrzejewski2 1 03
- 15Bartosz Nowak0 W0
- 16Emil Maroszek00
- 1Marcin Nowak1 2 2 2 2 09+1
- 2Keynan Rew0 1 01
- 3Jacob Thorssell2 0 1 03
- 4David Bellego0 2 3 1 2 311+1
- 5Paweł Przedpełski2 2 2 1 310+1
- 6Franciszek Majewski1 2 03
- 7Wiktor Rafalski3 0 14+1
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1*
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD0
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE3
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD2
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE1
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD1
- Keynan Rew · RZE0
- Tom Brennan · BYD3
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE2
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD1
- David Bellego · RZE0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD3
- David Bellego · RZE2
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD1
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2
- Keynan Rew · RZE1
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE2
- Tom Brennan · BYD1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- David Bellego · RZE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE1
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD0
- Tom Brennan · BYD3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Keynan Rew · RZE0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD3
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE2
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD1
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2
- David Bellego · RZE1*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD0
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE1*
- Emil Maroszek · BYD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- David Bellego · RZE2
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE1*
- Tom Brennan · BYD0
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1*
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE0
- David Bellego · RZE3
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD1*
- Marcin Nowak · RZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h SW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| BYD | RZE | BYD | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bellego | 6 | 6.4 | 11 | +4.6 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 3 | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Marcin Nowak | 6 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Kacper Andrzejewski | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Franciszek Majewski | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 9.1 | 8 | -1.1 |
| Emil Maroszek | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Bartosz Nowak | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Keynan Rew | 3 | 4.4 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 4 | 6.6 | 3 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.