TAR vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, September 15, 2025 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Mateusz Szczepaniak1 3 3 2 3 214+2
- 11Fraser Bowes2 0 3 05
- 12Marko Levishyn0 1 1 13+1
- 13Timo Lahti2 3 1 2 2 313+1
- 14Radosław Kowalski3 2 W 0 16+1
- 15Jan Heleniak2 0 0 0 02+1
- 1Andreas Lyager0 2 2 15
- 2Matej Zagar3 1 1 2 18+2
- 3Patryk Wojdyło3 2 2 0 310+2
- 4Mikkel Andersen1 3 3 0 29+1
- 5Robert Chmiel1 2 3 3 09
- 6Olivier Buszkiewicz1 3 04
- 7Seweryn Orgacki0 1 12+1
Heat by heat
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD3
- Fraser Bowes · TAR2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR1*
- Andreas Lyager · LOD0
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR3
- Jan Heleniak · TAR2*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LOD1
- Seweryn Orgacki · LOD0
- Matej Zagar · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · TAR2
- Robert Chmiel · LOD1
- Marko Levishyn · TAR0
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LOD3
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR2
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD1
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD3
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD2*
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1
- Fraser Bowes · TAR0
- Timo Lahti · TAR3
- Andreas Lyager · LOD2
- Matej Zagar · LOD1*
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR3
- Robert Chmiel · LOD2
- Seweryn Orgacki · LOD1
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD3
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD2*
- Timo Lahti · TAR1
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR3
- Andreas Lyager · LOD2
- Matej Zagar · LOD1*
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Robert Chmiel · LOD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR2
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LOD0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR3
- Timo Lahti · TAR2*
- Andreas Lyager · LOD1
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD0
- Fraser Bowes · TAR3
- Matej Zagar · LOD2
- Seweryn Orgacki · LOD1*
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Robert Chmiel · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · TAR2
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD0
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD3
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD2*
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1
- Fraser Bowes · TAR0
- Timo Lahti · TAR3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR2*
- Matej Zagar · LOD1
- Robert Chmiel · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h S
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TAR | LOD | TAR | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 6 | 10.2 | 14 | +3.8 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 11.1 | 13 | +1.9 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Fraser Bowes | 4 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Radosław Kowalski | 5 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Robert Chmiel | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Mikkel Andersen | 5 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Marko Levishyn | 4 | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Jan Heleniak | 5 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Andreas Lyager | 4 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.