POZ vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 7, 2025 · Stadion Golęcin, Poznań
Results
- 9Matias Nielsen2 2 3 18+1
- 10Szymon Szlauderbach2 2 15+2
- 11Norick Blödorn0 1 12
- 12Bartosz Smektała3 0 1 37
- 13Ryan Douglas1 3 2 39
- 14Kacper Teska3 3 0 28+1
- 15Tobiasz Jakub Musielak2 1 3 39+1
- 16Francis Gusts1 3 3 310
- 1Fraser Bowes3 0 1 0 26
- 2Marko Levishyn0 2 1 0 25
- 3Timo Lahti1 2 3 2 19+1
- 4Igor Gryzło00
- 5Mateusz Szczepaniak2 3 1 2 08
- 6Radosław Kowalski0 2 0 02
- 7Jan Heleniak1 0 0 12
- 8Adrian Gorzkowski00
Heat by heat
- Fraser Bowes · TAR3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- Timo Lahti · TAR1
- Norick Blödorn · POZ0
- Kacper Teska · POZ3
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ2*
- Jan Heleniak · TAR1
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR0
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR2
- Ryan Douglas · POZ1
- Marko Levishyn · TAR0
- Kacper Teska · POZ3
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR2
- Francis Gusts · POZ1
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR3
- Timo Lahti · TAR2*
- Norick Blödorn · POZ1
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Marko Levishyn · TAR2
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ1
- Fraser Bowes · TAR0
- Francis Gusts · POZ3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR1
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Timo Lahti · TAR3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2*
- Fraser Bowes · TAR1
- Marko Levishyn · TAR0
- Francis Gusts · POZ3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR2
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ1
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR0
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ3
- Timo Lahti · TAR2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Fraser Bowes · TAR0
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ3
- Marko Levishyn · TAR2
- Norick Blödorn · POZ1
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2*
- Timo Lahti · TAR1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR0
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ3
- Fraser Bowes · TAR2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1
- Adrian Gorzkowski · TAR0
- Francis Gusts · POZ3
- Kacper Teska · POZ2*
- Jan Heleniak · TAR1
- Igor Gryzło · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 22 °C
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h E
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| POZ | TAR | POZ | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead POZ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Teska | 4 | 4.1 | 8 | +3.9 |
| Tobiasz Jakub Musielak | 4 | 5.1 | 9 | +3.9 |
| Francis Gusts | 4 | 6.8 | 10 | +3.2 |
| Fraser Bowes | 5 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 3 | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Matias Nielsen | 4 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Ryan Douglas | 4 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Marko Levishyn | 5 | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Jan Heleniak | 4 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Adrian Gorzkowski | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Igor Gryzło | 1 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Norick Blödorn | 3 | 4.7 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Radosław Kowalski | 4 | 6.0 | 2 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.