LOD vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 31, 2025 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Matej Zagar3 2 1 2 311+1
- 10Mikkel Andersen2 1 2 16+1
- 11Vaclav Milik1 0 2 3 17
- 12Patryk Wojdyło3 2 1 1 310+1
- 13Robert Chmiel2 3 3 2 212+2
- 14Olivier Buszkiewicz1 0 01
- 15Seweryn OrgackiW 0 22+1
- 1Oliver Berntzon0 1 W1+1
- 2Sebastian Szostak0 2 3 3 D 19
- 3Grzegorz Walasek2 3 1 U 28+1
- 5Luke Becker1 3 2 3 3 012
- 6Paweł Sitek2 1 03+1
- 7Filip Seniuk3 0 14
- 8Anders Rowe3 1 0 04
Heat by heat
- Matej Zagar · LOD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Vaclav Milik · LOD1
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
- Filip Seniuk · OST3
- Paweł Sitek · OST2*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LOD1
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD3
- Robert Chmiel · LOD2*
- Luke Becker · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Anders Rowe · OST3
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD2
- Paweł Sitek · OST1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LOD0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD2
- Anders Rowe · OST1
- Vaclav Milik · LOD0
- Robert Chmiel · LOD3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1*
- Seweryn Orgacki · LOD0
- Luke Becker · OST3
- Matej Zagar · LOD2
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD1*
- Filip Seniuk · OST0
- Robert Chmiel · LOD3
- Luke Becker · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LOD0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD2
- Matej Zagar · LOD1*
- Anders Rowe · OST0
- Luke Becker · OST3
- Vaclav Milik · LOD2
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD1*
- Paweł Sitek · OST0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Matej Zagar · LOD2
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD1
- Vaclav Milik · LOD3
- Seweryn Orgacki · LOD2*
- Filip Seniuk · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OSTD
- Luke Becker · OST3
- Robert Chmiel · LOD2
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OSTU
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Vaclav Milik · LOD1
- Anders Rowe · OST0
- Matej Zagar · LOD3
- Robert Chmiel · LOD2*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Luke Becker · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 25 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h N
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| LOD | OST | LOD | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chmiel | 5 | 8.6 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 5.9 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Filip Seniuk | 3 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Luke Becker | 6 | 11.9 | 12 | +0.1 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 6 | 9.0 | 9 | -0.0 |
| Mikkel Andersen | 4 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Paweł Sitek | 3 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Anders Rowe | 4 | 6.1 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 3 | 4.7 | 1 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.