OST vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 24, 2025 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Luke Becker3 3 2 2 2 113+1
- 11Grzegorz Walasek1 2 1 2 39+2
- 12Sebastian Szostak1 3 2 3 312+1
- 13Oliver Berntzon2 1 14
- 14Paweł Sitek3 1 04
- 15Filip Seniuk1 0 12+1
- 16Anders Rowe3 2 1 0 17+2
- 1Andreas Lyager2 2 3 1 3 011+1
- 2Patryk Wojdyło0 3 3 0 3 211
- 3Matej Zagar0 00
- 4Mikkel Andersen2 1 2 0 05+1
- 5Robert Chmiel3 1 3 1 210
- 6Olivier Buszkiewicz0 W 00
- 7Seweryn Orgacki2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Luke Becker · OST3
- Andreas Lyager · LOD2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Matej Zagar · LOD0
- Paweł Sitek · OST3
- Seweryn Orgacki · LOD2
- Filip Seniuk · OST1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LOD0
- Robert Chmiel · LOD3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD0
- Anders Rowe · OST3
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD2
- Paweł Sitek · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2*
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD1
- Matej Zagar · LOD0
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD3
- Andreas Lyager · LOD2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Filip Seniuk · OST0
- Luke Becker · OST3
- Anders Rowe · OST2*
- Robert Chmiel · LOD1
- Seweryn Orgacki · LOD0
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD3
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Paweł Sitek · OST0
- Andreas Lyager · LOD3
- Luke Becker · OST2
- Anders Rowe · OST1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD0
- Robert Chmiel · LOD3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LOD0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Luke Becker · OST2*
- Andreas Lyager · LOD1
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD0
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Filip Seniuk · OST1*
- Seweryn Orgacki · LOD0
- Andreas Lyager · LOD3
- Luke Becker · OST2
- Robert Chmiel · LOD1
- Anders Rowe · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Robert Chmiel · LOD2
- Anders Rowe · OST1
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Patryk Wojdyło · LOD2
- Luke Becker · OST1
- Andreas Lyager · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 24 km/h W
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 6.9 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 38 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| OST | LOD | OST | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Szostak | 5 | 6.2 | 12 | +5.8 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 6.4 | 9 | +2.6 |
| Andreas Lyager | 6 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Robert Chmiel | 5 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 6 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Luke Becker | 6 | 11.9 | 13 | +1.1 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Anders Rowe | 5 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 3 | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Paweł Sitek | 3 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Filip Seniuk | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Matej Zagar | 2 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Mikkel Andersen | 5 | 8.9 | 5 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.