POZ vs RZE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 10, 2025 · Poznań Stadium, Poznań
Results
- 9Matias Nielsen3 1 3 2 110+2
- 10Szymon Szlauderbach2 3 0 16+1
- 11Francis Gusts2 1 2 2 07+2
- 12Bartosz Smektała2 2 1 3 210+1
- 13Ryan Douglas1 3 W 2 17+1
- 14Kacper Teska1 1 24+1
- 15Tobiasz Jakub Musielak3 0 03
- 1Nicolai Klindt1 1 2 04+1
- 2Keynan Rew0 2 1 3 2 08+2
- 3Jacob Thorssell0 3 3 06
- 4Marcin Nowak3 0 1 15
- 5Paweł Przedpełski3 2 3 3 3 317
- 6Franciszek Majewski2 0 0 13
- 7Adrian PrzybyłoW W0
Heat by heat
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Francis Gusts · POZ2*
- Nicolai Klindt · RZE1
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE0
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ3
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE2
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ2
- Ryan Douglas · POZ1*
- Keynan Rew · RZE0
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Kacper Teska · POZ1*
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE0
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ2
- Francis Gusts · POZ1*
- Marcin Nowak · RZE0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Keynan Rew · RZE2
- Nicolai Klindt · RZE1*
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ3
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Kacper Teska · POZ2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Nicolai Klindt · RZE2
- Keynan Rew · RZE1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE3
- Francis Gusts · POZ2
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ1*
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE0
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2*
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Nicolai Klindt · RZE0
- Keynan Rew · RZE3
- Francis Gusts · POZ2
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE1
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ0
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1*
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE0
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE3
- Keynan Rew · RZE2*
- Ryan Douglas · POZ1
- Francis Gusts · POZ0
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1*
- Keynan Rew · RZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 22 °C
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Wind
- 29 km/h W
- gusts up to 46 km/h
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| POZ | RZE | POZ | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead POZ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 10.7 | 17 | +6.3 |
| Francis Gusts | 5 | 4.7 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Kacper Teska | 3 | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 4 | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Matias Nielsen | 5 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Tobiasz Jakub Musielak | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Franciszek Majewski | 4 | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 4 | 7.2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Adrian Przybyło | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Keynan Rew | 6 | 10.5 | 8 | -2.5 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 11.0 | 7 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.