TAR vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 20, 2025 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Mateusz SzczepaniakD 1 0 2 36+1
- 11Matej Zagar1 1 3 38+1
- 12Marko Levishyn2 2 2 1 0 18+1
- 13Timo Lahti3 1 3 2 1 212+1
- 14Radosław Kowalski0 1 01
- 15Jan Heleniak2 0 0 13
- 16Fraser Bowes1 12+1
- 1Andreas Lyager2 2 3 3 313+2
- 2Mateusz Bartkowiak1 3 1 2 29
- 3Vaclav Milik3 0 1 04+1
- 4Patrick Hansen00
- 5Robert Chmiel0 3 2 3 08
- 6Olivier Buszkiewicz1 2 03+1
- 7Seweryn Orgacki3 0 03
- 8Mikkel Andersen3 3 2 210+1
Heat by heat
- Vaclav Milik · LOD3
- Andreas Lyager · LOD2*
- Matej Zagar · TAR1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TARD
- Seweryn Orgacki · LOD3
- Jan Heleniak · TAR2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LOD1
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR0
- Timo Lahti · TAR3
- Marko Levishyn · TAR2*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD1
- Robert Chmiel · LOD0
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD3
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LOD2*
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR1
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD3
- Marko Levishyn · TAR2
- Matej Zagar · TAR1*
- Vaclav Milik · LOD0
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD3
- Andreas Lyager · LOD2*
- Timo Lahti · TAR1
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Robert Chmiel · LOD3
- Marko Levishyn · TAR2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR1*
- Seweryn Orgacki · LOD0
- Timo Lahti · TAR3
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD2
- Vaclav Milik · LOD1*
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR0
- Andreas Lyager · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · TAR2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR0
- Matej Zagar · TAR3
- Robert Chmiel · LOD2
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · LOD0
- Andreas Lyager · LOD3
- Mikkel Andersen · LOD2*
- Fraser Bowes · TAR1
- Marko Levishyn · TAR0
- Matej Zagar · TAR3
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD2
- Jan Heleniak · TAR1
- Seweryn Orgacki · LOD0
- Robert Chmiel · LOD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR2
- Timo Lahti · TAR1*
- Vaclav Milik · LOD0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR3
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD2
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1
- Patrick Hansen · LOD0
- Andreas Lyager · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · TAR2
- Fraser Bowes · TAR1*
- Robert Chmiel · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 26 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h W
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 63 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| TAR | LOD | TAR | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -12 | 1 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -14 | 2 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -12 | 0 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 5 | 5.3 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Mikkel Andersen | 4 | 6.8 | 10 | +3.2 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 9.9 | 13 | +3.1 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 10.8 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 3 | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Fraser Bowes | 2 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Marko Levishyn | 6 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Jan Heleniak | 4 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Robert Chmiel | 5 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Patrick Hansen | 1 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Vaclav Milik | 4 | 6.1 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Radosław Kowalski | 3 | 4.8 | 1 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.