POZ vs KRO
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 20, 2025 · Poznań Stadium, Poznań
Results
- 9Matias Nielsen2 2 3 1 19+1
- 10Szymon Szlauderbach1 1 0 02+1
- 11Norick Blödorn1 2 1 2 06+1
- 12Bartosz Smektała1 0 3 3 18
- 13Ryan Douglas3 3 3 3 214
- 14Kacper Teska3 0 03
- 15Tobiasz Jakub Musielak2 0 13+2
- 1Jakub Jamróg3 2 1 W6+1
- 2Mathias Pollestad2 1 2 3 08+1
- 3Tobiasz MusielakT 1 2 2 27+1
- 4Kenneth Bjerre3 3 1 2 312+1
- 5Dimitri Berge0 0 2 1 36+1
- 6Szymon Bańdur0 1 2 03+1
- 7Jakub Wieszczak0 3 03
Heat by heat
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- Norick Blödorn · POZ1*
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Kacper Teska · POZ3
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ2*
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1
- Jakub Wieszczak · KRO0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Mathias Pollestad · KRO2
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ1
- Dimitri Berge · KRO0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Norick Blödorn · POZ2
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO2
- Mathias Pollestad · KRO1*
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ0
- Jakub Wieszczak · KRO3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1*
- Dimitri Berge · KRO0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO1*
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Mathias Pollestad · KRO2
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ3
- Dimitri Berge · KRO2
- Norick Blödorn · POZ1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Mathias Pollestad · KRO3
- Norick Blödorn · POZ2
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ1*
- Jakub Wieszczak · KRO0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Dimitri Berge · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ1
- Norick Blödorn · POZ0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1*
- Mathias Pollestad · KRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 29 °C
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h N
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| POZ | KRO | POZ | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead POZ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 10.4 | 14 | +3.6 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.3 | 12 | +2.7 |
| Matias Nielsen | 5 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Kacper Teska | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Mathias Pollestad | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Tobiasz Jakub Musielak | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Jakub Wieszczak | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 4 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 4 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 8.8 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 4 | 5.0 | 2 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.