OST vs RZE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, August 1, 2025 · Ostrów Stadium, Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Norbert Krakowiak2 1 0 D3+1
- 10Frederik Jakobsen2 2 1 0 05+1
- 11Sebastian Szostak1 01+1
- 12Grzegorz Walasek1 1 1 14+2
- 13Oliver Berntzon2 1 3 1 2 110+1
- 14Paweł Sitek3 3 1 2 2 314
- 15Filip Seniuk2 0 02+1
- 1Nicolai Klindt0 2 2 2 17+4
- 2Keynan Rew3 3 3 3 315
- 3Jacob Thorssell3 2 0 16+1
- 4Marcin Nowak1 3 2 3 211+1
- 5Paweł Przedpełski0 3 3 3 211
- 6Wiktor Rafalski0 00
- 7Franciszek Majewski1 0 01
- 8Adrian Przybyło00
Heat by heat
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Norbert Krakowiak · OST2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1*
- Nicolai Klindt · RZE0
- Paweł Sitek · OST3
- Filip Seniuk · OST2*
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Keynan Rew · RZE3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE0
- Paweł Sitek · OST3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2*
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Keynan Rew · RZE3
- Nicolai Klindt · RZE2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Filip Seniuk · OST0
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Norbert Krakowiak · OST1*
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2
- Paweł Sitek · OST1
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE0
- Keynan Rew · RZE3
- Nicolai Klindt · RZE2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Norbert Krakowiak · OST0
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE3
- Paweł Sitek · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Adrian Przybyło · RZE0
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Nicolai Klindt · RZE2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Norbert Krakowiak · OSTD
- Keynan Rew · RZE3
- Paweł Sitek · OST2
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1*
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE0
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE1
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST0
- Paweł Sitek · OST3
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE2
- Nicolai Klindt · RZE1*
- Filip Seniuk · OST0
- Keynan Rew · RZE3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle → Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h SW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| OST | RZE | OST | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paweł Sitek | 6 | 7.4 | 14 | +6.6 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 9.1 | 15 | +5.9 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Filip Seniuk | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Adrian Przybyło | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 2 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 4 | 7.2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 4 | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Franciszek Majewski | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 9.6 | 7 | -2.6 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 10.1 | 5 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.