RZE vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Thursday, July 10, 2025 · Rzeszów Stadium, Rzeszów
Results
- 9Jacob Thorssell0 3 0 14+1
- 10Keynan Rew3 2 2 310+1
- 11Nicolai Klindt3 2 3 210+1
- 12Marcin Nowak1 3 1 27+1
- 13Paweł Przedpełski2 3 1 28+1
- 14Franciszek Majewski3 2 0 16+1
- 15Adrian Przybyło1 0 1 02+1
- 16Wiktor Rafalski1 01
- 1Marko Levishyn1 1 1 0 36+2
- 2Matej Zagar3 2 3 311
- 3Mateusz Szczepaniak2 1 2 3 0 311+1
- 5Timo Lahti0 M 00
- 6Radosław Kowalski2 1 1 3 2 211+1
- 7Jan Heleniak0 0 00
- 8Fraser BowesW 1 23+1
Heat by heat
- Nicolai Klindt · RZE3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR2
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1*
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE0
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE3
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR2
- Adrian Przybyło · RZE1
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Matej Zagar · TAR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1*
- Timo Lahti · TAR0
- Keynan Rew · RZE3
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE2*
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR1
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Nicolai Klindt · RZE2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR1
- Timo Lahti · TARM
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE3
- Matej Zagar · TAR2
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1*
- Adrian Przybyło · RZE0
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Keynan Rew · RZE2*
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR1
- Timo Lahti · TAR0
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE1
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE0
- Matej Zagar · TAR3
- Keynan Rew · RZE2
- Marko Levishyn · TAR1
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE0
- Nicolai Klindt · RZE3
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE1*
- Marko Levishyn · TAR0
- Matej Zagar · TAR3
- Nicolai Klindt · RZE2
- Adrian Przybyło · RZE1*
- Jan Heleniak · TAR0
- Keynan Rew · RZE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE2*
- Fraser Bowes · TAR1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR0
- Marko Levishyn · TAR3
- Fraser Bowes · TAR2*
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE1
- Adrian Przybyło · RZE0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · TAR3
- Radosław Kowalski · TAR2*
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 15 °C
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
- Wind
- 24 km/h W
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 16.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 80 %
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| RZE | TAR | RZE | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 5.6 | 11 | +5.4 |
| Radosław Kowalski | 6 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 7.1 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Keynan Rew | 4 | 7.3 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Franciszek Majewski | 4 | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 6 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Fraser Bowes | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 2 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Marko Levishyn | 5 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Adrian Przybyło | 4 | 5.3 | 2 | -3.3 |
| Jan Heleniak | 3 | 3.4 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 4 | 7.8 | 4 | -3.8 |
| Timo Lahti | 3 | 5.6 | 0 | -5.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.