POZ vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 6, 2025 · Poznań Stadium, Poznań
Results
- 9Matias NielsenU 3 1 0 T4
- 10Szymon Szlauderbach3 1 0 04
- 11Francis Gusts3 2 0 3 08
- 12Bartosz Smektała0 0 2 3 16
- 13Ryan Douglas2 2 2 3 312
- 14Kacper Teska1 1 02
- 15Tobiasz Jakub Musielak3 1 1 W5+1
- 1Szymon Woźniak1 0 2 25+1
- 2Tom Brennan1 3 3 2 110+1
- 3Kai Huckenbeck2 1 3 1 310+1
- 4Krzysztof Buczkowski2 3 1 1 29+2
- 5Oleksandr Loktayev3 2 3 2 212
- 6Kacper Andrzejewski2 0 13
- 7Emil Maroszek0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Francis Gusts · POZ3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD1
- Matias Nielsen · POZU
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ3
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD2
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Emil Maroszek · BYD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Tom Brennan · BYD1
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Francis Gusts · POZ2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ0
- Tom Brennan · BYD3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ1*
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD0
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1
- Emil Maroszek · BYD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Tom Brennan · BYD3
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD2*
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD3
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ2
- Kacper Andrzejewski · BYD1
- Francis Gusts · POZ0
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ3
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD1*
- Matias Nielsen · POZ0
- Francis Gusts · POZ3
- Tom Brennan · BYD2
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ1
- Emil Maroszek · BYD0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2*
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ1
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD2
- Tom Brennan · BYD1*
- Francis Gusts · POZ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 30 → 29 °C
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h S
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 24 %
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| POZ | BYD | POZ | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead POZ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Gusts | 5 | 4.3 | 8 | +3.7 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 10.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 10.1 | 12 | +1.9 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Tobiasz Jakub Musielak | 4 | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Kacper Andrzejewski | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Kacper Teska | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Matias Nielsen | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 4 | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 4 | 8.2 | 5 | -3.2 |
| Emil Maroszek | 3 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.