RZE vs POZ
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 12, 2025 · Rzeszów Stadium, Rzeszów
Results
- 9Marcin Nowak0 3 3 3 211
- 10Keynan Rew3 0 2 1 39+2
- 11Jacob Thorssell3 3 3 1 111+1
- 12David Bellego1 0 12+1
- 13Paweł Przedpełski2 3 1 2 210+1
- 14Franciszek MajewskiT 1 W1
- 15Wiktor Rafalski1 0 01
- 16Anze Grmek00
- 1Matias Nielsen1 2 0 2 05+1
- 3Bartosz Smektała2 2 2 0 17+1
- 4Norick Blödorn2 1 3 0 06+1
- 5Ryan Douglas3 1 2 3 312+1
- 6Tobiasz Jakub Musielak3 W 14+1
- 7Kacper Teska2 2 37+1
- 8Francis Gusts0 1 1 24+2
Heat by heat
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1*
- Marcin Nowak · RZE0
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ3
- Kacper Teska · POZ2*
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE1
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE2
- David Bellego · RZE1*
- Francis Gusts · POZ0
- Keynan Rew · RZE3
- Norick Blödorn · POZ2
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE1
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ2
- Norick Blödorn · POZ1*
- David Bellego · RZE0
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- Francis Gusts · POZ1*
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Kacper Teska · POZ2
- Ryan Douglas · POZ1*
- Keynan Rew · RZE0
- Norick Blödorn · POZ3
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE1
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Keynan Rew · RZE2*
- Francis Gusts · POZ1
- Matias Nielsen · POZ0
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ1*
- Anze Grmek · RZE0
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- David Bellego · RZE1
- Norick Blödorn · POZ0
- Kacper Teska · POZ3
- Francis Gusts · POZ2*
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE2
- Keynan Rew · RZE1*
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ0
- Keynan Rew · RZE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · RZE2*
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ1
- Matias Nielsen · POZ0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE1*
- Norick Blödorn · POZ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 12 °C
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h W
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 47 %
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| RZE | POZ | RZE | POZ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Teska | 3 | 2.0 | 7 | +5.0 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 6.6 | 11 | +4.4 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 9.0 | 9 | +0.0 |
| Tobiasz Jakub Musielak | 3 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Anze Grmek | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Francis Gusts | 4 | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 8.8 | 7 | -1.8 |
| David Bellego | 3 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Franciszek Majewski | 3 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Matias Nielsen | 5 | 8.8 | 5 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.