OST vs KRO
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 13, 2025 · Ostrów Stadium, Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Luke Becker3 3 3 3 315
- 10Norbert Krakowiak2 1 0 03
- 11Sebastian Szostak1 0 0 3 04
- 12Oliver Berntzon2 1 2 1 17+1
- 13Frederik Jakobsen3 3 1 2 D9
- 14Paweł Sitek3 1 04+1
- 15Filip Seniuk0 0 11
- 1Jakub Jamróg0 1 2 03+1
- 3Tobiasz Musielak2 3 3 3 213
- 4Kenneth Bjerre0 2 2 2 39+2
- 5Dimitri Berge1 2 3 1 18
- 6Piotr Świercz1 3 15+1
- 7Szymon Bańdur2 0 02
- 8William Drejer0 2 1 2 27+2
Heat by heat
- Luke Becker · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO0
- Paweł Sitek · OST3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1*
- Filip Seniuk · OST0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2*
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1
- William Drejer · KRO0
- Piotr Świercz · KRO3
- Norbert Krakowiak · OST2
- Paweł Sitek · OST1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- William Drejer · KRO2
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO1*
- Filip Seniuk · OST0
- Luke Becker · OST3
- Dimitri Berge · KRO2
- Norbert Krakowiak · OST1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Paweł Sitek · OST0
- Luke Becker · OST3
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO2
- William Drejer · KRO1*
- Norbert Krakowiak · OST0
- Dimitri Berge · KRO3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Luke Becker · OST3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Jakub Jamróg · KRO0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- William Drejer · KRO2
- Filip Seniuk · OST1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1
- Norbert Krakowiak · OST0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- William Drejer · KRO2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Luke Becker · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1
- Frederik Jakobsen · OSTD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 22 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 23 km/h S
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 40 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| OST | KRO | OST | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Becker | 5 | 8.7 | 15 | +6.3 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 8.0 | 13 | +5.0 |
| Piotr Świercz | 3 | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| William Drejer | 5 | 5.1 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Paweł Sitek | 3 | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 4 | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 5 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Filip Seniuk | 3 | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 10.1 | 7 | -3.1 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 4 | 7.1 | 3 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.