RZE vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, June 28, 2024 · Stadion Miejski Stal w Rzeszowie, Rzeszów
Results
- 9Marcin Nowak3 1 2 06+1
- 10Krystian Pieszczek3 2 W 1 17
- 11Nicki Pedersen2 3 3 3 314+1
- 12Mateusz Świdnicki0 00
- 13Jacob Thorssell2 1 3 3 U9
- 14Franciszek Majewski2 D 02+1
- 15Wiktor Rafalski3 0 14
- 16Jesper Knudsen1 3 04
- 1Rohan Tungate0 2 3 2 310+1
- 2Grzegorz Walasek1 3 1 D5
- 3Jakub Jamróg1 2 2 2 29
- 4Norick Blödorn2 1 1 15+3
- 5Brady Kurtz3 3 2 0 2 111+1
- 6Paweł Trześniewski1 12
- 7Kacper Tkocz0 00
- 8Maksym Borowiak0 22
Heat by heat
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE2*
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1
- Rohan Tungate · RYB0
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE3
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE2*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · RZE0
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Franciszek Majewski · RZED
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1*
- Mateusz Świdnicki · RZE0
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2*
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1*
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB1
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE1
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1*
- Marcin Nowak · RZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB2
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE1
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYBD
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE1
- Brady Kurtz · RYB0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE1
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1
- Jacob Thorssell · RZEU
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 24 °C
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h SW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| RZE | RYB | RZE | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.6 | 14 | +3.4 |
| Jesper Knudsen | 3 | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 7.2 | 9 | +1.8 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 5.8 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 2 | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 2 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 2 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Franciszek Majewski | 3 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 13.2 | 11 | -2.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.